Eastern Illinois
OVC · 1–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -12.9 avg | × 33% | -4.3 |
| Opponents faced | +2.9 avg | × 33% | +1.0 |
| Preseason prior | -15.4 | × 67% | -10.3 |
| Power | -13.6 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Indiana | L 57–91 | -34.1 | +0.1 | -1.2 |
| 2 | at | Iowa | L 47–91 | -35.0 | -9.0 | -1.5 |
| 3 | at | Notre Dame | L 70–94 | -29.0 | +5.0 | -0.9 |
| 3 | vs | Blackburn non-D1 | W 102–44 | +22.6 | +35.4 | +0.3 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -10.3 | |||||
| Power | -13.6 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne | -2.6 | 41% |
| 4 | at | Vanderbilt | -43.7 | 0% |
| 4 | at | Illinois | -45.6 | 0% |
| 5 | vs | Indiana-South Bend non-D1 | +22.6 | 98% |
| 5 | vs | Northern Illinois | -1.0 | 46% |
| 10 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | -6.1 | 29% |
| 10 | vs | Tennessee State | -4.2 | 35% |
| 11 | at | Morehead State | -4.1 | 36% |
Season by season
Best finish: #170 in 2009–10. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 13–20 | #313 of 365 · -11.63 | – |
| 2024–25 | 12–19 | #308 of 364 · -10.58 | – |
| 2023–24 | 14–18 | #309 of 362 · -9.76 | – |
| 2022–23 | 9–22 | #347 of 363 · -14.34 | – |
| 2021–22 | 5–26 | #354 of 358 · -19.69 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–18 | #279 of 347 · -8.37 | – |
| 2019–20 | 15–15 | – | #195 of 353 · 22.04 |
| 2018–19 | 13–18 | – | #282 of 353 · -20.51 |
| 2017–18 | 12–19 | – | #258 of 351 · -0.62 |
| 2016–17 | 14–15 | – | #210 of 351 · 22.54 |
| 2015–16 | 13–17 | – | #259 of 351 · -8.78 |
| 2014–15 | 18–15 | – | #253 of 351 · 1.80 |
| 2013–14 | 11–19 | – | #304 of 351 · -28.10 |
| 2012–13 | 11–20 | – | #247 of 347 · -6.35 |
| 2011–12 | 12–17 | – | #257 of 345 · -5.95 |
| 2010–11 | 9–19 | – | #283 of 346 · -18.45 |
| 2009–10 | 19–12 | – | #170 of 335 · 35.49 |
| 2008–09 | 12–18 | – | #247 of 330 · -2.69 |
| 2007–08 | 7–22 | – | #300 of 328 · -38.54 |
| 2006–07 | 10–20 | – | #284 of 326 · -27.07 |
| 2005–06 | 6–21 | – | #303 of 326 · -46.25 |
| 2004–05 | 12–16 | – | #267 of 326 · -11.68 |