The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Quinnipiac

Metro · 2–2

Power-5.0#221 of 365
Résumé-0.04#192 · wins above average
Movement-19down from #202 last week
Best winVermont (79–76)
Worst lossMonmouth (70–74)
Schedule faced+2.4 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-12.9 avg opponent
Returning production27% of last season's win shares · #145 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production0.2 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-7.1 avg× 33%-2.4
Opponents faced+2.4 avg× 33%+0.8
Preseason prior-5.1× 67%-3.4
Power-5.0

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at Michigan State L 59–96 -35.9 -1.1 -0.5
2 vs Bryant W 66–56 +12.0 -2.0 -0.6
2 at Vermont W 79–76 -5.0 +8.0 +0.8
3 vs Monmouth L 70–74 -0.3 -3.7 -1.3
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-3.4
Power-5.0

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Central Connecticut +0.8 53%
4 vs Maine +11.1 84%
5 vs Emerson non-D1 +31.2 100%
5 at Yale -11.2 15%

Season by season

Best finish: #79 in 2009–10. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #293 of 326 (10-17)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #213 of 326 (12-16)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #218 of 326 (14-15)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #186 of 328 (15-15)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #196 of 330 (15-16)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #79 of 335 (23-10)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #84 of 346 (22-10)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #92 of 345 (18-13)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #131 of 347 (15-16)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #114 of 351 (20-12)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #121 of 351 (15-15)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #273 of 351 (9-21)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #296 of 351 (10-21)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #308 of 351 (12-21)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #186 of 353 (16-15)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #236 of 353 (15-15)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #296 of 347 (9-13)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #259 of 358 (14-17)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #191 of 363 (20-12)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #176 of 362 (24-10)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #198 of 364 (20-13)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #189 of 365 (19-13) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 19–13 #189 of 365 · -1.86 –
2024–25 20–13 #198 of 364 · -2.22 –
2023–24 24–10 #176 of 362 · -0.73 –
2022–23 20–12 #191 of 363 · -1.29 –
2021–22 14–17 #259 of 358 · -6.16 –
2020–21 9–13 #296 of 347 · -9.03 –
2019–20 15–15 – #236 of 353 · 3.36
2018–19 16–15 – #186 of 353 · 24.24
2017–18 12–21 – #308 of 351 · -31.09
2016–17 10–21 – #296 of 351 · -24.93
2015–16 9–21 – #273 of 351 · -13.91
2014–15 15–15 – #121 of 351 · 56.66
2013–14 20–12 – #114 of 351 · 62.25
2012–13 15–16 – #131 of 347 · 46.45
2011–12 18–13 – #92 of 345 · 74.59
2010–11 22–10 – #84 of 346 · 78.72
2009–10 23–10 – #79 of 335 · 84.01
2008–09 15–16 – #196 of 330 · 22.48
2007–08 15–15 – #186 of 328 · 22.61
2006–07 14–15 – #218 of 326 · 8.00
2005–06 12–16 – #213 of 326 · 13.58
2004–05 10–17 – #293 of 326 · -28.41