Michigan State

Big Ten · 27–8

Power+24.4#11 of 365

Résumé+18.59#13 · wins above average

Trendrating by week

Best winIllinois (85–82)
Worst lossMinnesota (73–76)
Schedule faced+12.4 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	vs	Colgate	W 80–69	+31.0	-20.0
1	vs	Arkansas	W 69–66	+6.1	-3.1
2	vs	San José State	W 79–60	+32.8	-13.8
3	N	Kentucky	W 83–66	+6.2	+10.8
3	vs	Detroit Mercy	W 84–56	+33.3	-5.3
4	N	East Carolina	W 89–56	+31.8	+1.2
4	N	North Carolina	W 74–58	+6.7	+9.3
5	vs	Iowa	W 71–52	+9.3	+9.7
5	vs	Duke	L 60–66	-4.7	-1.3
6	at	Penn State	W 76–72	+19.1	-15.1
7	vs	Toledo	W 92–69	+24.8	-1.8
7	N	Oakland	W 79–70	+24.1	-15.1
9	vs	Cornell	W 114–97	+24.1	-7.1
9	at	Nebraska	L 56–58	+0.7	-2.7
10	vs	USC	W 80–51	+18.3	+10.7
10	vs	Northwestern	W 76–66	+16.7	-6.7
11	vs	Indiana	W 81–60	+12.8	+8.2
11	at	Washington	W 80–63	+10.8	+6.2
12	at	Oregon	W 68–52	+14.5	+1.5
12	vs	Maryland	W 91–48	+21.8	+21.2
13	at	Rutgers	W 88–79	+18.9	-9.9
13	vs	Michigan	L 71–83	-5.5	-6.5
14	at	Minnesota	L 73–76	+14.6	-17.6
14	vs	Illinois	W 85–82	+0.5	+2.5
15	at	Wisconsin	L 71–92	+2.2	-23.2
16	vs	UCLA	W 82–59	+10.0	+13.0
16	vs	Ohio State	W 66–60	+9.5	-3.5
17	at	Purdue	W 76–74	-3.9	+5.9
17	at	Indiana	W 77–64	+7.4	+5.6
18	vs	Rutgers	W 91–87	+24.3	-20.3
18	at	Michigan	L 80–90	-11.0	+1.0
19	N	UCLA	L 84–88	+7.3	-11.3
20	N	North Dakota State	W 92–67	+19.1	+5.9
20	N	Louisville	W 77–69	+4.4	+3.6
21	N	UConn	L 63–67	+0.1	-4.1

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #4 in 2015–16. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 100 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025–26	11 of 365	27–8	24.36	Power
2024–25	10 of 364	30–7	22.19	Power
2023–24	20 of 362	20–15	15.92	Power
2022–23	34 of 363	21–13	13.03	Power
2021–22	38 of 358	23–13	11.46	Power
2020–21	93 of 347	15–13	6.72	Power
2019–20	13 of 353	22–9	128.62	MRI
2018–19	5 of 353	32–7	202.80	MRI
2017–18	7 of 351	29–5	180.64	MRI
2016–17	71 of 351	20–15	85.88	MRI
2015–16	4 of 351	29–6	191.76	MRI
2014–15	15 of 351	27–12	149.38	MRI
2013–14	14 of 351	29–9	162.09	MRI
2012–13	28 of 347	24–8	125.68	MRI
2011–12	4 of 345	29–8	197.82	MRI
2010–11	91 of 346	19–15	74.31	MRI
2009–10	20 of 335	28–9	142.26	MRI
2008–09	9 of 330	31–7	179.22	MRI
2007–08	15 of 328	27–9	146.49	MRI
2006–07	18 of 326	23–12	139.69	MRI
2005–06	29 of 326	22–12	115.05	MRI
2004–05	4 of 326	26–6	175.51	MRI