The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Hampton

CAA · 1–2

Power-8.6#272 of 365
Résumé-0.48#306 · wins above average
Movement-9down from #263 last week
Best winApprentice School (67–56)
Worst lossGeorgia Tech (55–75)
Schedule faced-5.1 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-2.6 avg opponent
Returning production14% of last season's win shares · #235 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production9.3 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-7.9 avg× 27%-2.2
Opponents faced-5.1 avg× 27%-1.4
Preseason prior-6.9× 73%-5.0
Power-8.6

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at Georgia Tech L 55–75 -15.3 -4.7 -1.4
2 at George Washington L 61–75 -20.8 +6.8 -0.3
3 vs Apprentice School non-D1 W 67–56 +27.6 -16.6 -1.9
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)-5.0
Power-8.6

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Navy -7.0 26%
5 at Old Dominion -9.2 20%
5 N UMass Lowell -2.0 43%
5 N Radford -3.0 39%
5 at American University -10.7 17%
7 at Wake Forest -20.9 3%
10 vs Drexel +2.0 57%
11 at Monmouth -9.9 18%

Season by season

Best finish: #131 in 2010–11. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #174 of 326 (17-13)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #197 of 326 (16-16)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #195 of 326 (15-16)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #139 of 328 (18-12)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #231 of 330 (16-16)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #207 of 335 (14-18)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #131 of 346 (24-9)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #256 of 345 (11-20)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #221 of 347 (14-17)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #159 of 351 (18-13)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #226 of 351 (17-18)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #157 of 351 (21-11)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #251 of 351 (14-17)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #184 of 351 (19-16)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #171 of 353 (15-17)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #290 of 353 (12-19)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #317 of 347 (11-14)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #332 of 358 (9-19)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #351 of 363 (8-24)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #340 of 362 (9-24)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #246 of 364 (17-16)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #267 of 365 (13-19) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 13–19 #267 of 365 · -7.14 –
2024–25 17–16 #246 of 364 · -5.92 –
2023–24 9–24 #340 of 362 · -14.42 –
2022–23 8–24 #351 of 363 · -14.88 –
2021–22 9–19 #332 of 358 · -12.69 –
2020–21 11–14 #317 of 347 · -11.84 –
2019–20 12–19 – #290 of 353 · -24.00
2018–19 15–17 – #171 of 353 · 30.90
2017–18 19–16 – #184 of 351 · 33.16
2016–17 14–17 – #251 of 351 · 1.04
2015–16 21–11 – #157 of 351 · 48.77
2014–15 17–18 – #226 of 351 · 14.02
2013–14 18–13 – #159 of 351 · 41.44
2012–13 14–17 – #221 of 347 · 7.47
2011–12 11–20 – #256 of 345 · -5.94
2010–11 24–9 – #131 of 346 · 52.45
2009–10 14–18 – #207 of 335 · 16.43
2008–09 16–16 – #231 of 330 · 3.10
2007–08 18–12 – #139 of 328 · 46.52
2006–07 15–16 – #195 of 326 · 20.37
2005–06 16–16 – #197 of 326 · 22.44
2004–05 17–13 – #174 of 326 · 27.25