Rider
Metro · 1–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -9.9 avg | × 33% | -3.3 |
| Opponents faced | -9.8 avg | × 33% | -3.3 |
| Preseason prior | -20.2 | × 67% | -13.5 |
| Power | -20.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Pittsburgh | L 57–95 | -32.8 | -5.2 | -2.1 |
| 2 | vs | New Hampshire | L 55–66 | -7.4 | -3.6 | -2.9 |
| 2 | at | Binghamton | L 63–75 | -10.6 | -1.4 | -1.8 |
| 3 | vs | William Paterson non-D1 | W 83–53 | +16.1 | +13.9 | +0.2 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -13.5 | |||||
| Power | -20.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Villanova | -39.5 | 0% |
| 4 | at | Miami | -43.4 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | Navy | -12.5 | 13% |
| 5 | at | Loyola Maryland | -8.6 | 22% |
| 5 | at | Army | -12.7 | 12% |
| 6 | at | UConn | -50.6 | 0% |
| 7 | at | Georgetown | -29.8 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #93 in 2017–18. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 4–25 | #357 of 365 · -18.34 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–19 | #306 of 364 · -10.25 | – |
| 2023–24 | 15–17 | #235 of 362 · -4.46 | – |
| 2022–23 | 16–14 | #203 of 363 · -1.98 | – |
| 2021–22 | 14–19 | #258 of 358 · -6.14 | – |
| 2020–21 | 6–17 | #305 of 347 · -10.50 | – |
| 2019–20 | 18–12 | – | #125 of 353 · 51.38 |
| 2018–19 | 16–15 | – | #134 of 353 · 46.96 |
| 2017–18 | 22–9 | – | #93 of 351 · 76.74 |
| 2016–17 | 18–15 | – | #200 of 351 · 28.53 |
| 2015–16 | 13–20 | – | #228 of 351 · 8.29 |
| 2014–15 | 21–12 | – | #148 of 351 · 46.56 |
| 2013–14 | 14–17 | – | #238 of 351 · 9.63 |
| 2012–13 | 18–14 | – | #170 of 347 · 29.88 |
| 2011–12 | 13–19 | – | #269 of 345 · -10.58 |
| 2010–11 | 23–11 | – | #139 of 346 · 49.21 |
| 2009–10 | 17–16 | – | #198 of 335 · 18.82 |
| 2008–09 | 19–13 | – | #171 of 330 · 31.74 |
| 2007–08 | 23–11 | – | #96 of 328 · 71.03 |
| 2006–07 | 16–15 | – | #241 of 326 · -3.99 |
| 2005–06 | 8–20 | – | #282 of 326 · -18.00 |
| 2004–05 | 18–11 | – | #139 of 326 · 40.76 |