Samford
SoCon · 1–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +11.4 avg | × 20% | +2.3 |
| Opponents faced | -10.1 avg | × 20% | -2.0 |
| Preseason prior | -1.9 | × 80% | -1.5 |
| Power | -1.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Berry non-D1 | W 87–58 | +34.9 | -5.9 | +0.4 |
| 2 | at | UNLV | L 79–88 | -8.7 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | -1.5 | |||||
| Power | -1.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Wright State | -4.6 | 34% |
| 4 | at | South Carolina Upstate | +9.8 | 81% |
| 4 | vs | UNC Asheville | +11.0 | 84% |
| 5 | at | Georgia Tech | -7.9 | 24% |
| 5 | vs | Point University non-D1 | +34.9 | 100% |
| 6 | at | Tennessee Tech | +2.7 | 60% |
| 8 | vs | Wofford | +6.5 | 72% |
| 9 | at | Chattanooga | -0.9 | 47% |
Season by season
Best finish: #73 in 2023–24. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 18–14 | #164 of 365 · -0.39 | – |
| 2024–25 | 22–11 | #101 of 364 · 5.51 | – |
| 2023–24 | 29–6 | #73 of 362 · 8.51 | – |
| 2022–23 | 21–11 | #129 of 363 · 2.97 | – |
| 2021–22 | 21–11 | #197 of 358 · -1.71 | – |
| 2020–21 | 6–13 | #258 of 347 · -6.35 | – |
| 2019–20 | 7–23 | – | #339 of 353 · -66.25 |
| 2018–19 | 16–16 | – | #149 of 353 · 39.68 |
| 2017–18 | 10–22 | – | #309 of 351 · -32.00 |
| 2016–17 | 20–16 | – | #160 of 351 · 41.98 |
| 2015–16 | 14–19 | – | #197 of 351 · 23.33 |
| 2014–15 | 13–19 | – | #272 of 351 · -7.30 |
| 2013–14 | 13–20 | – | #314 of 351 · -37.20 |
| 2012–13 | 10–21 | – | #287 of 347 · -25.90 |
| 2011–12 | 11–19 | – | #281 of 345 · -16.63 |
| 2010–11 | 12–19 | – | #317 of 346 · -47.65 |
| 2009–10 | 11–20 | – | #285 of 335 · -20.23 |
| 2008–09 | 16–16 | – | #253 of 330 · -3.91 |
| 2007–08 | 14–16 | – | #272 of 328 · -16.73 |
| 2006–07 | 16–16 | – | #214 of 326 · 10.34 |
| 2005–06 | 20–11 | – | #109 of 326 · 58.05 |
| 2004–05 | 15–12 | – | #195 of 326 · 19.84 |