UNC Asheville
Big South · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -0.9 avg | × 33% | -0.3 |
| Opponents faced | -12.3 avg | × 33% | -4.1 |
| Preseason prior | -7.2 | × 67% | -4.9 |
| Power | -9.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Richmond | L 77–100 | -17.0 | -6.0 | -1.5 |
| 2 | vs | Erskine non-D1 | W 101–74 | +26.9 | +0.1 | -0.9 |
| 2 | vs | Western Carolina | L 75–83 | -4.2 | -3.8 | -1.9 |
| 3 | at | West Georgia | W 73–70 | +2.3 | +0.7 | -0.1 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -4.9 | |||||
| Power | -9.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Georgia Tech | -15.9 | 7% |
| 4 | vs | Tennessee Tech | +0.6 | 52% |
| 4 | at | Samford | -11.0 | 16% |
| 5 | at | Florida State | -26.6 | 1% |
| 5 | vs | Georgia Southern | +3.1 | 61% |
Season by season
Best finish: #62 in 2016–17. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–17 | #220 of 365 · -4.55 | – |
| 2024–25 | 21–11 | #172 of 364 · -0.66 | – |
| 2023–24 | 22–12 | #147 of 362 · 1.58 | – |
| 2022–23 | 27–8 | #137 of 363 · 2.40 | – |
| 2021–22 | 17–15 | #183 of 358 · -0.59 | – |
| 2020–21 | 10–10 | #207 of 347 · -2.72 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–16 | – | #247 of 353 · 0.00 |
| 2018–19 | 2–26 | – | #350 of 353 · -115.47 |
| 2017–18 | 21–13 | – | #159 of 351 · 44.30 |
| 2016–17 | 23–10 | – | #62 of 351 · 92.50 |
| 2015–16 | 22–12 | – | #77 of 351 · 84.32 |
| 2014–15 | 15–16 | – | #215 of 351 · 18.47 |
| 2013–14 | 17–15 | – | #178 of 351 · 34.13 |
| 2012–13 | 13–16 | – | #189 of 347 · 22.90 |
| 2011–12 | 24–10 | – | #76 of 345 · 85.35 |
| 2010–11 | 20–14 | – | #109 of 346 · 66.76 |
| 2009–10 | 15–16 | – | #210 of 335 · 14.38 |
| 2008–09 | 15–16 | – | #246 of 330 · -0.15 |
| 2007–08 | 23–10 | – | #132 of 328 · 51.77 |
| 2006–07 | 12–19 | – | #252 of 326 · -8.93 |
| 2005–06 | 9–19 | – | #289 of 326 · -26.71 |
| 2004–05 | 11–17 | – | #256 of 326 · -7.27 |