Southern
SWAC · 0–5
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 5 games, w is 38%, so the preseason prior is 62% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -23.2 avg | × 38% | -8.9 |
| Opponents faced | +14.0 avg | × 38% | +5.4 |
| Preseason prior | -9.6 | × 62% | -5.9 |
| Power | -9.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | SMU | L 72–85 | -26.8 | +13.8 | +0.3 |
| 2 | at | TCU | L 54–106 | -25.7 | -26.3 | -2.0 |
| 2 | at | Drake | L 68–75 | -13.9 | +6.9 | -0.1 |
| 3 | at | Iowa State | L 47–84 | -39.7 | +2.7 | -0.5 |
| 3 | at | Minnesota | L 61–91 | -26.0 | -4.0 | -1.2 |
| Preseason prior (62% of the rating) | -5.9 | |||||
| Power | -9.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs | Louisiana Christian non-D1 | +26.7 | 99% |
| 5 | at | Nebraska | -37.3 | 0% |
| 5 | at | Vanderbilt | -39.6 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #121 in 2012–13. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 17–17 | #263 of 365 · -6.91 | – |
| 2024–25 | 20–12 | #213 of 364 · -3.27 | – |
| 2023–24 | 18–14 | #261 of 362 · -5.94 | – |
| 2022–23 | 15–17 | #257 of 363 · -5.87 | – |
| 2021–22 | 17–14 | #220 of 358 · -3.19 | – |
| 2020–21 | 8–11 | #251 of 347 · -5.81 | – |
| 2019–20 | 15–15 | – | #211 of 353 · 14.02 |
| 2018–19 | 6–25 | – | #331 of 353 · -59.56 |
| 2017–18 | 15–18 | – | #277 of 351 · -11.34 |
| 2016–17 | 15–18 | – | #265 of 351 · -5.83 |
| 2015–16 | 22–13 | – | #181 of 351 · 31.14 |
| 2014–15 | 18–17 | – | #238 of 351 · 8.72 |
| 2013–14 | 19–13 | – | #126 of 351 · 54.76 |
| 2012–13 | 20–9 | – | #121 of 347 · 51.52 |
| 2011–12 | 16–13 | – | #304 of 345 · -34.47 |
| 2010–11 | 4–26 | – | #343 of 346 · -106.04 |
| 2009–10 | 5–25 | – | #331 of 335 · -80.64 |
| 2008–09 | 8–23 | – | #305 of 330 · -42.03 |
| 2007–08 | 11–19 | – | #280 of 328 · -21.41 |
| 2006–07 | 10–21 | – | #280 of 326 · -24.55 |
| 2005–06 | 20–13 | – | #142 of 326 · 40.75 |
| 2004–05 | 14–14 | – | #232 of 326 · 4.61 |