Drake
MVC · 2–0
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +21.2 avg | × 20% | +4.2 |
| Opponents faced | -17.6 avg | × 20% | -3.5 |
| Preseason prior | +1.0 | × 80% | +0.8 |
| Power | +1.5 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Central College non-D1 | W 101–48 | +37.7 | +15.3 | +1.4 |
| 2 | vs | Southern | W 75–68 | +13.9 | -6.9 | -0.7 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | +0.8 | |||||
| Power | +1.5 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | South Dakota | +17.0 | 94% |
| 4 | vs | Tarleton State | +9.1 | 80% |
| 4 | vs | Charleston | +0.2 | 51% |
| 4 | at | Missouri State | +4.2 | 65% |
| 5 | N | Boise State | -10.6 | 17% |
| 5 | N | North Dakota State | +4.8 | 67% |
| 5 | N | North Texas | -2.4 | 41% |
Season by season
Best finish: #16 in 2007–08. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 14–20 | #172 of 365 · -1.01 | – |
| 2024–25 | 31–4 | #60 of 364 · 10.98 | – |
| 2023–24 | 28–7 | #57 of 362 · 11.43 | – |
| 2022–23 | 27–8 | #59 of 363 · 10.55 | – |
| 2021–22 | 25–11 | #76 of 358 · 8.33 | – |
| 2020–21 | 26–5 | #52 of 347 · 9.83 | – |
| 2019–20 | 18–14 | – | #163 of 353 · 37.09 |
| 2018–19 | 22–10 | – | #119 of 353 · 56.81 |
| 2017–18 | 17–17 | – | #197 of 351 · 26.38 |
| 2016–17 | 7–24 | – | #300 of 351 · -26.36 |
| 2015–16 | 7–24 | – | #290 of 351 · -22.00 |
| 2014–15 | 9–22 | – | #311 of 351 · -28.16 |
| 2013–14 | 15–16 | – | #200 of 351 · 26.38 |
| 2012–13 | 14–17 | – | #191 of 347 · 22.61 |
| 2011–12 | 17–15 | – | #172 of 345 · 34.25 |
| 2010–11 | 13–18 | – | #251 of 346 · -2.39 |
| 2009–10 | 14–19 | – | #199 of 335 · 18.73 |
| 2008–09 | 17–16 | – | #146 of 330 · 42.59 |
| 2007–08 | 28–5 | – | #16 of 328 · 144.86 |
| 2006–07 | 17–15 | – | #117 of 326 · 55.60 |
| 2005–06 | 12–19 | – | #163 of 326 · 34.01 |
| 2004–05 | 13–15 | – | #160 of 326 · 32.30 |