Stony Brook
CAA · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +7.2 avg | × 27% | +1.9 |
| Opponents faced | -7.1 avg | × 27% | -1.9 |
| Preseason prior | -7.1 | × 73% | -5.2 |
| Power | -5.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Old Westbury non-D1 | W 97–47 | +31.0 | +19.0 | +0.7 |
| 2 | at | Northwestern | L 65–78 | -20.0 | +7.0 | +0.1 |
| 3 | at | Princeton | L 59–69 | -6.5 | -3.5 | -0.8 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -5.2 | |||||
| Power | -5.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs | SUNY-Potsdam non-D1 | +31.0 | 100% |
| 4 | at | Saint Peter's | +3.9 | 64% |
| 5 | vs | Lindenwood | +5.5 | 69% |
| 5 | vs | Delaware | +6.2 | 72% |
| 8 | at | Ohio State | -25.2 | 1% |
| 9 | at | Brown | +1.0 | 53% |
| 10 | vs | Monmouth | -0.5 | 48% |
| 10 | at | Hofstra | -9.2 | 20% |
Season by season
Best finish: #37 in 2015–16. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 17–15 | #260 of 365 · -6.83 | – |
| 2024–25 | 8–24 | #326 of 364 · -11.92 | – |
| 2023–24 | 20–15 | #190 of 362 · -2.25 | – |
| 2022–23 | 11–22 | #321 of 363 · -10.59 | – |
| 2021–22 | 18–13 | #230 of 358 · -4.05 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–14 | #218 of 347 · -3.33 | – |
| 2019–20 | 19–13 | – | #144 of 353 · 44.86 |
| 2018–19 | 23–9 | – | #89 of 353 · 68.42 |
| 2017–18 | 13–18 | – | #211 of 351 · 21.63 |
| 2016–17 | 18–14 | – | #175 of 351 · 37.54 |
| 2015–16 | 26–7 | – | #37 of 351 · 117.50 |
| 2014–15 | 23–12 | – | #98 of 351 · 69.65 |
| 2013–14 | 23–11 | – | #106 of 351 · 65.08 |
| 2012–13 | 23–7 | – | #49 of 347 · 102.56 |
| 2011–12 | 22–10 | – | #99 of 345 · 71.84 |
| 2010–11 | 15–17 | – | #205 of 346 · 22.36 |
| 2009–10 | 22–10 | – | #121 of 335 · 58.17 |
| 2008–09 | 16–14 | – | #131 of 330 · 49.44 |
| 2007–08 | 7–22 | – | #277 of 328 · -19.99 |
| 2006–07 | 9–20 | – | #232 of 326 · 1.63 |
| 2005–06 | 4–24 | – | #306 of 326 · -52.11 |
| 2004–05 | 12–16 | – | #247 of 326 · -3.25 |