Texas Southern
SWAC · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -13.3 avg | × 27% | -3.6 |
| Opponents faced | -2.8 avg | × 27% | -0.8 |
| Preseason prior | -13.9 | × 73% | -10.1 |
| Power | -14.5 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Grand Canyon | L 79–103 | -33.0 | +9.0 | -0.7 |
| 2 | at | LSU | L 51–92 | -31.8 | -9.2 | -2.0 |
| 3 | vs | College Of Biblical Studies non-D1 | W 98–78 | +21.6 | -1.6 | -1.7 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -10.1 | |||||
| Power | -14.5 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Murray State | -23.9 | 2% |
| 4 | at | UC San Diego | -21.8 | 2% |
| 4 | at | San Diego State | -30.0 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | New Orleans | -3.3 | 38% |
| 5 | vs | Tarleton State | -7.0 | 26% |
| 6 | at | Xavier | -33.7 | 0% |
| 8 | at | Minnesota | -31.1 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #154 in 2012–13. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 12–18 | #311 of 365 · -11.14 | – |
| 2024–25 | 15–17 | #270 of 364 · -7.20 | – |
| 2023–24 | 16–17 | #271 of 362 · -6.43 | – |
| 2022–23 | 14–21 | #293 of 363 · -8.12 | – |
| 2021–22 | 19–13 | #191 of 358 · -1.06 | – |
| 2020–21 | 17–9 | #186 of 347 · -1.60 | – |
| 2019–20 | 15–16 | – | #255 of 353 · -3.56 |
| 2018–19 | 22–14 | – | #163 of 353 · 33.67 |
| 2017–18 | 16–19 | – | #237 of 351 · 8.84 |
| 2016–17 | 23–12 | – | #171 of 351 · 38.03 |
| 2015–16 | 18–15 | – | #172 of 351 · 38.14 |
| 2014–15 | 22–13 | – | #172 of 351 · 34.73 |
| 2013–14 | 19–15 | – | #194 of 351 · 29.37 |
| 2012–13 | 17–14 | – | #154 of 347 · 36.73 |
| 2011–12 | 15–18 | – | #222 of 345 · 13.25 |
| 2010–11 | 19–13 | – | #228 of 346 · 9.30 |
| 2009–10 | 17–16 | – | #202 of 335 · 17.49 |
| 2008–09 | 7–25 | – | #314 of 330 · -60.71 |
| 2007–08 | 7–25 | – | #325 of 328 · -86.83 |
| 2006–07 | 14–17 | – | #266 of 326 · -15.38 |
| 2005–06 | 8–22 | – | #311 of 326 · -59.37 |
| 2004–05 | 11–15 | – | #251 of 326 · -6.02 |