New Orleans
Southland · 1–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -6.0 avg | × 20% | -1.2 |
| Opponents faced | -5.4 avg | × 20% | -1.1 |
| Preseason prior | -7.5 | × 80% | -6.0 |
| Power | -8.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | LSU | L 57–100 | -25.5 | -17.5 | -2.3 |
| 2 | vs | Loyola New Orleans non-D1 | W 90–65 | +27.9 | -2.9 | +0.0 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | -6.0 | |||||
| Power | -8.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Southern-New Orleans non-D1 | +27.9 | 99% |
| 4 | at | Texas Tech | -36.3 | 0% |
| 4 | at | Texas Southern | +3.3 | 62% |
| 5 | vs | Grambling | +6.3 | 72% |
| 5 | vs | Florida Gulf Coast | -0.5 | 48% |
| 6 | at | Arizona | -36.2 | 0% |
| 10 | at | Kansas | -42.4 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #115 in 2010–11. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–18 | #244 of 365 · -5.80 | – |
| 2024–25 | 4–27 | #357 of 364 · -17.81 | – |
| 2023–24 | 10–23 | #337 of 362 · -13.80 | – |
| 2022–23 | 12–20 | #341 of 363 · -13.08 | – |
| 2021–22 | 18–14 | #242 of 358 · -5.02 | – |
| 2020–21 | 10–15 | #250 of 347 · -5.72 | – |
| 2019–20 | 5–21 | – | #314 of 353 · -40.73 |
| 2018–19 | 15–14 | – | #229 of 353 · 3.54 |
| 2017–18 | 16–17 | – | #227 of 351 · 13.19 |
| 2016–17 | 20–11 | – | #120 of 351 · 57.59 |
| 2015–16 | 10–20 | – | #278 of 351 · -16.09 |
| 2014–15 | 11–18 | – | #266 of 351 · -3.96 |
| 2013–14 | 11–15 | – | #269 of 351 · -7.36 |
| 2012–13 | 4–18 | – | #341 of 347 · -94.48 |
| 2011–12 | 1–7 | – | #321 of 345 · -55.69 |
| 2010–11 | 16–6 | – | #115 of 346 · 61.12 |
| 2009–10 | 8–22 | – | #303 of 335 · -38.36 |
| 2008–09 | 11–19 | – | #281 of 330 · -17.45 |
| 2007–08 | 19–13 | – | #153 of 328 · 39.08 |
| 2006–07 | 14–17 | – | #235 of 326 · 0.13 |
| 2005–06 | 10–19 | – | #261 of 326 · -9.75 |
| 2004–05 | 12–17 | – | #209 of 326 · 16.01 |