The MRI
2025–26 · Final

Tarleton State

UAC · 14–18

Power-5.0#236 of 365
Résumé-4.57#605 · wins above average
Trendrating by week
Best winCalifornia Baptist (81–76)
Worst lossSouthern Utah (105–106)
Schedule faced-5.7 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-6.3 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 at SMU L 76–96 -21.7 +1.7
1 at LSU L 60–96 -17.3 -18.7
1 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi W 85–77 -0.4 +8.4
2 vs Merrimack W 76–62 -1.9 +15.9
2 at Baylor L 81–94 -21.2 +8.2
3 vs Angelo State non-D1 W 77–54 +35.6 -12.6
3 at Rice W 90–74 -2.5 +18.5
4 vs Midwestern State non-D1 W 67–57 +35.6 -25.6
5 at Cincinnati L 58–76 -22.1 +4.1
5 vs Howard Payne non-D1 W 119–54 +35.6 +29.4
5 vs Cameron non-D1 W 93–63 +35.6 -5.6
7 at Mississippi Valley State W 88–64 +22.1 +1.9
7 vs Florida A&M W 78–54 +10.6 +13.4
9 at UT Arlington W 69–63 -7.1 +13.1
9 vs Utah Valley L 85–91 -9.6 +3.6
9 vs California Baptist W 81–76 -6.0 +11.0
10 vs Abilene Christian L 80–84 +4.1 -8.1
11 at Southern Utah L 105–106 +0.6 -1.6
11 at Utah Tech L 71–75 -3.7 -0.3
12 at UT Arlington L 64–71 -7.1 +0.1
13 vs Utah Valley L 55–83 -9.6 -18.4
13 vs Utah Tech L 59–65 +1.8 -7.8
14 at California Baptist L 55–56 -11.5 +10.5
14 at Southern Utah W 62–59 +0.6 +2.4
15 at Abilene Christian L 59–73 -1.4 -12.6
16 vs Abilene Christian W 65–62 +4.1 -1.1
16 vs Southern Utah W 78–74 +6.1 -2.1
16 vs Utah Tech L 72–80 +1.8 -9.8
17 at Utah Valley L 72–79 -15.1 +8.1
17 at California Baptist L 67–82 -11.5 -3.5
18 vs UT Arlington L 60–65 -1.7 -3.3
19 N Abilene Christian L 78–84 +1.3 -7.3

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
13 vs Abilene Christian +4.1 64%

Season by season

Best finish: #122 in 2023–24. 6 rated seasons. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 300 2020–21: #245 of 347 (10-10)2021–22: #221 of 358 (14-17)2022–23: #155 of 363 (17-17)2023–24: #122 of 362 (25-10)2024–25: #267 of 364 (12-20)2025–26: #236 of 365 (14-18) 2020–21 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 300 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025–26 236 of 365 14–18 -5.01 Power
2024–25 267 of 364 12–20 -6.72 Power
2023–24 122 of 362 25–10 3.85 Power
2022–23 155 of 363 17–17 0.73 Power
2021–22 221 of 358 14–17 -3.27 Power
2020–21 245 of 347 10–10 -5.20 Power