Canisius
Metro · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -7.4 avg | × 33% | -2.5 |
| Opponents faced | -7.7 avg | × 33% | -2.5 |
| Preseason prior | -18.7 | × 67% | -12.5 |
| Power | -17.5 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Penn State | L 57–97 | -25.3 | -14.7 | -2.5 |
| 2 | vs | St. Bonaventure | L 49–88 | -16.0 | -23.0 | -4.2 |
| 3 | vs | Hiram non-D1 | W 117–60 | +18.6 | +38.4 | +1.1 |
| 3 | at | Brown | W 86–81 | -11.4 | +16.4 | +0.6 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -12.5 | |||||
| Power | -17.5 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Buffalo | -14.1 | 10% |
| 4 | vs | Mercyhurst | -4.9 | 33% |
| 4 | vs | UAlbany | +0.0 | 50% |
| 4 | vs | Western Illinois | +7.3 | 75% |
| 5 | at | UIC | -27.1 | 1% |
| 8 | at | Syracuse | -34.7 | 0% |
| 9 | at | DePaul | -29.6 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #108 in 2012–13. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 10–21 | #350 of 365 · -16.91 | – |
| 2024–25 | 3–28 | #359 of 364 · -18.17 | – |
| 2023–24 | 14–18 | #280 of 362 · -7.07 | – |
| 2022–23 | 10–20 | #263 of 363 · -6.28 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–21 | #269 of 358 · -7.04 | – |
| 2020–21 | 7–6 | #243 of 347 · -5.19 | – |
| 2019–20 | 12–20 | – | #240 of 353 · 1.84 |
| 2018–19 | 15–17 | – | #249 of 353 · -3.49 |
| 2017–18 | 21–12 | – | #116 of 351 · 62.92 |
| 2016–17 | 18–16 | – | #186 of 351 · 34.08 |
| 2015–16 | 14–19 | – | #217 of 351 · 12.49 |
| 2014–15 | 18–15 | – | #131 of 351 · 52.94 |
| 2013–14 | 21–13 | – | #135 of 351 · 48.51 |
| 2012–13 | 18–13 | – | #108 of 347 · 55.83 |
| 2011–12 | 5–25 | – | #328 of 345 · -64.99 |
| 2010–11 | 15–15 | – | #200 of 346 · 24.20 |
| 2009–10 | 15–17 | – | #221 of 335 · 10.43 |
| 2008–09 | 11–20 | – | #274 of 330 · -15.39 |
| 2007–08 | 6–25 | – | #320 of 328 · -64.40 |
| 2006–07 | 12–19 | – | #234 of 326 · 0.80 |
| 2005–06 | 9–20 | – | #267 of 326 · -12.48 |
| 2004–05 | 11–18 | – | #284 of 326 · -23.29 |