Virginia

ACC · 30–6

Power+18.3#25 of 365

Résumé+18.31#14 · wins above average

Trendrating by week

Best winLouisville (79–70)
Worst lossButler (73–80)
Schedule faced+7.7 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	vs	Rider	W 87–53	+39.0	-5.0
1	vs	North Carolina Central	W 81–62	+35.1	-16.1
2	vs	Hampton	W 91–53	+28.2	+9.8
2	vs	Marshall	W 104–78	+22.1	+3.9
3	N	Northwestern	W 83–78	+7.9	-2.9
3	N	Butler	L 73–80	+10.9	-17.9
4	vs	Queens University	W 94–69	+22.9	+2.1
5	at	Texas	W 88–69	-0.1	+19.1
5	N	Dayton	W 86–73	+8.4	+4.6
6	vs	Maryland Eastern Shore	W 84–60	+36.5	-12.5
7	vs	Maryland	W 80–72	+15.7	-7.7
8	vs	American University	W 95–51	+26.0	+18.0
9	at	Virginia Tech	L 85–95	+6.6	-16.6
9	at	NC State	W 76–61	+1.8	+13.2
10	vs	California	W 84–60	+13.9	+10.1
10	vs	Stanford	W 70–55	+12.0	+3.0
11	at	Louisville	W 79–70	-4.4	+13.4
11	at	SMU	W 72–68	+1.6	+2.4
12	vs	North Carolina	L 80–85	+3.3	-8.3
13	at	Notre Dame	W 100–97	+10.5	-7.5
13	at	Boston College	W 73–66	+17.2	-10.2
14	vs	Pittsburgh	W 67–47	+15.4	+4.6
14	vs	Syracuse	W 72–59	+15.0	-2.0
15	at	Florida State	W 61–58	+6.8	-3.8
15	N	Ohio State	W 70–66	+0.7	+3.3
16	at	Georgia Tech	W 94–68	+16.8	+9.2
16	vs	Miami	W 86–83	+7.5	-4.5
17	vs	NC State	W 90–61	+7.2	+21.8
17	at	Duke	L 51–77	-16.3	-9.7
18	vs	Wake Forest	W 75–70	+12.2	-7.2
18	vs	Virginia Tech	W 76–72	+12.0	-8.0
19	N	NC State	W 81–74	+4.5	+2.5
19	N	Miami	W 84–62	+4.8	+17.2
19	N	Duke	L 70–74	-13.5	+9.5
20	N	Wright State	W 82–73	+16.1	-7.1
20	N	Tennessee	L 72–79	-4.8	-2.2

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #3 in 2018–19. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 200 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025–26	25 of 365	30–6	18.28	Power
2024–25	113 of 364	15–17	3.69	Power
2023–24	68 of 362	23–11	9.15	Power
2022–23	37 of 363	25–8	12.73	Power
2021–22	75 of 358	21–14	8.43	Power
2020–21	30 of 347	18–7	12.15	Power
2019–20	75 of 353	23–7	81.80	MRI
2018–19	3 of 353	35–3	213.65	MRI
2017–18	5 of 351	31–3	195.98	MRI
2016–17	17 of 351	23–11	156.78	MRI
2015–16	7 of 351	29–8	183.24	MRI
2014–15	7 of 351	30–4	196.75	MRI
2013–14	5 of 351	30–7	185.68	MRI
2012–13	43 of 347	21–11	105.15	MRI
2011–12	43 of 345	22–10	107.73	MRI
2010–11	165 of 346	16–15	37.59	MRI
2009–10	99 of 335	15–16	68.33	MRI
2008–09	151 of 330	10–18	40.12	MRI
2007–08	104 of 328	17–16	68.81	MRI
2006–07	65 of 326	21–11	95.12	MRI
2005–06	107 of 326	15–15	59.70	MRI
2004–05	162 of 326	13–15	32.03	MRI