The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Drexel

CAA · 1–2

Power-7.7#261 of 365
Résumé-0.36#268 · wins above average
Movement-7down from #254 last week
Best winColgate (77–74)
Worst lossAmerican University (64–66)
Schedule faced+5.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-3.2 avg opponent
Returning production19% of last season's win shares · #202 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production1.5 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-14.4 avg× 27%-3.9
Opponents faced+5.5 avg× 27%+1.5
Preseason prior-7.2× 73%-5.3
Power-7.7

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at Virginia L 60–89 -32.6 +3.6 -0.6
2 vs Colgate W 77–74 -0.1 +3.1 -0.7
3 vs American University L 64–66 -3.9 +1.9 -1.1
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)-5.3
Power-7.7

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Maine +2.5 59%
4 vs Saint Joseph's -7.8 24%
5 at Pennsylvania -11.1 16%
5 at Mount St. Mary's -0.2 49%
8 at Pittsburgh -20.4 3%
10 at William & Mary -8.9 21%
10 at Hampton -2.0 43%
11 vs Charleston -9.0 21%

Season by season

Best finish: #32 in 2011–12. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 300 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #101 of 326 (16-12)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #95 of 326 (15-16)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #80 of 326 (23-9)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #267 of 328 (12-20)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #127 of 330 (15-14)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #155 of 335 (16-16)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #82 of 346 (21-10)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #32 of 345 (29-6)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #159 of 347 (13-18)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #132 of 351 (16-14)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #279 of 351 (11-19)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #289 of 351 (6-25)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #285 of 351 (9-23)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #269 of 351 (13-20)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #248 of 353 (12-19)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #251 of 353 (13-19)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #153 of 347 (12-8)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #162 of 358 (15-14)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #190 of 363 (17-15)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #123 of 362 (20-12)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #176 of 364 (18-15)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #216 of 365 (17-16) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 300 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 17–16 #216 of 365 · -4.20 –
2024–25 18–15 #176 of 364 · -1.03 –
2023–24 20–12 #123 of 362 · 3.38 –
2022–23 17–15 #190 of 363 · -1.29 –
2021–22 15–14 #162 of 358 · 0.52 –
2020–21 12–8 #153 of 347 · 0.75 –
2019–20 13–19 – #251 of 353 · -1.70
2018–19 12–19 – #248 of 353 · -2.82
2017–18 13–20 – #269 of 351 · -6.64
2016–17 9–23 – #285 of 351 · -14.18
2015–16 6–25 – #289 of 351 · -21.45
2014–15 11–19 – #279 of 351 · -10.16
2013–14 16–14 – #132 of 351 · 50.29
2012–13 13–18 – #159 of 347 · 35.31
2011–12 29–6 – #32 of 345 · 122.68
2010–11 21–10 – #82 of 346 · 79.20
2009–10 16–16 – #155 of 335 · 40.48
2008–09 15–14 – #127 of 330 · 52.75
2007–08 12–20 – #267 of 328 · -15.18
2006–07 23–9 – #80 of 326 · 83.06
2005–06 15–16 – #95 of 326 · 66.53
2004–05 16–12 – #101 of 326 · 60.36