The MRI
2026 · Week 2

Missouri State

Conference USA · 1–1 · MRI Classic #111

Power-12.4#113 of 138
Résumé-0.01#79 · wins above average
Movement+4up from #117 last week
Best winLindenwood (48–14)
Worst lossTexas A&M (0–50)
Schedule faced-4.7 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-10.7 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 at Texas A&M L 0–50 -41.9 -8.1
2 vs Lindenwood FCS W 48–14 +26.5 +7.5

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Marshall +2.5 56%
4 at SMU -33.5 2%
6 at Western Kentucky -1.1 47%
7 vs Kennesaw State +5.3 62%
8 at Delaware -6.1 36%
9 vs Sam Houston +16.1 84%
10 at FIU -5.9 36%
11 vs New Mexico State +8.2 69%