Fordham
A-10 · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -2.8 avg | × 27% | -0.8 |
| Opponents faced | +3.6 avg | × 27% | +1.0 |
| Preseason prior | +2.4 | × 73% | +1.7 |
| Power | +1.9 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Long Island University | +13.1 | 88% |
| 4 | at | Manhattan | +13.0 | 88% |
| 4 | at | Portland | +2.2 | 58% |
| 4 | N | San Diego | +7.3 | 75% |
| 5 | vs | Mercy non-D1 | +38.1 | 100% |
| 5 | at | Harvard | -2.9 | 40% |
| 6 | vs | Boston University | +11.5 | 85% |
| 6 | vs | St. Francis (IL) non-D1 | +38.1 | 100% |
Season by season
Best finish: #144 in 2015–16. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 17–15 | #179 of 365 · -1.32 | – |
| 2024–25 | 12–21 | #234 of 364 · -4.80 | – |
| 2023–24 | 13–20 | #195 of 362 · -2.50 | – |
| 2022–23 | 25–8 | #147 of 363 · 1.46 | – |
| 2021–22 | 16–16 | #241 of 358 · -4.93 | – |
| 2020–21 | 2–12 | #328 of 347 · -13.81 | – |
| 2019–20 | 9–22 | – | #259 of 353 · -5.13 |
| 2018–19 | 11–20 | – | #252 of 353 · -5.80 |
| 2017–18 | 9–22 | – | #328 of 351 · -47.67 |
| 2016–17 | 13–19 | – | #240 of 351 · 6.59 |
| 2015–16 | 17–14 | – | #144 of 351 · 52.60 |
| 2014–15 | 10–21 | – | #241 of 351 · 5.76 |
| 2013–14 | 10–21 | – | #262 of 351 · -2.67 |
| 2012–13 | 7–24 | – | #304 of 347 · -35.40 |
| 2011–12 | 10–19 | – | #289 of 345 · -23.94 |
| 2010–11 | 7–21 | – | #309 of 346 · -37.59 |
| 2009–10 | 2–26 | – | #326 of 335 · -73.64 |
| 2008–09 | 3–25 | – | #324 of 330 · -81.14 |
| 2007–08 | 12–17 | – | #215 of 328 · 8.80 |
| 2006–07 | 18–12 | – | #147 of 326 · 41.44 |
| 2005–06 | 16–16 | – | #171 of 326 · 30.56 |
| 2004–05 | 13–16 | – | #213 of 326 · 14.44 |