Grambling
SWAC · 1–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -13.3 avg | × 20% | -2.7 |
| Opponents faced | +5.8 avg | × 20% | +1.2 |
| Preseason prior | -12.7 | × 80% | -10.2 |
| Power | -11.7 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | N | Northern Illinois | W 89–87 | -2.1 | +4.1 | -0.6 |
| 3 | at | Texas | L 62–93 | -35.9 | +4.9 | -0.9 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | -10.2 | |||||
| Power | -11.7 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at | Kentucky | -32.3 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | Southern Miss | -3.4 | 38% |
| 5 | vs | Ecclesia non-D1 | +24.5 | 99% |
| 5 | at | New Orleans | -6.3 | 28% |
| 5 | at | Southern Miss | -9.3 | 20% |
| 6 | N | Tennessee State | -5.2 | 32% |
| 8 | at | Duke | -46.3 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #187 in 2022–23. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 14–19 | #297 of 365 · -9.80 | – |
| 2024–25 | 12–22 | #302 of 364 · -9.65 | – |
| 2023–24 | 21–15 | #268 of 362 · -6.29 | – |
| 2022–23 | 24–9 | #187 of 363 · -1.08 | – |
| 2021–22 | 12–20 | #306 of 358 · -10.30 | – |
| 2020–21 | 12–12 | #271 of 347 · -7.77 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–15 | – | #267 of 353 · -8.87 |
| 2018–19 | 13–17 | – | #266 of 353 · -10.51 |
| 2017–18 | 17–14 | – | #253 of 351 · 1.58 |
| 2016–17 | 16–17 | – | #277 of 351 · -10.93 |
| 2015–16 | 7–24 | – | #335 of 351 · -58.57 |
| 2014–15 | 2–27 | – | #351 of 351 · -141.16 |
| 2013–14 | 5–24 | – | #349 of 351 · -91.96 |
| 2012–13 | 0–28 | – | #347 of 347 · -220.40 |
| 2011–12 | 4–24 | – | #345 of 345 · -123.61 |
| 2010–11 | 12–21 | – | #319 of 346 · -53.19 |
| 2009–10 | 7–21 | – | #321 of 335 · -64.50 |
| 2008–09 | 6–23 | – | #327 of 330 · -88.08 |
| 2007–08 | 7–19 | – | #316 of 328 · -58.62 |
| 2006–07 | 12–14 | – | #261 of 326 · -12.57 |
| 2005–06 | 14–13 | – | #235 of 326 · 1.09 |
| 2004–05 | 14–12 | – | #230 of 326 · 6.33 |