MRI Champion · 2 basketball titles 2009–10, 2024–25

Duke

ACC · 35–3

Power+31.8#2 of 365

Résumé+25.46#3 · wins above average

Trendrating by week

Best winMichigan (68–63)
Worst lossNorth Carolina (68–71)
Schedule faced+11.1 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	N	Texas	W 75–60	+16.1	-1.1
1	vs	Western Carolina	W 95–54	+39.5	+1.5
2	at	Army	W 114–59	+43.7	+11.3
2	vs	Indiana State	W 100–62	+36.6	+1.4
3	N	Kansas	W 78–66	+11.5	+0.5
3	vs	Niagara	W 100–42	+49.0	+9.0
3	vs	Howard	W 93–56	+36.4	+0.6
4	N	Arkansas	W 80–71	+10.8	-1.8
5	vs	Florida	W 67–66	+5.4	-4.4
5	at	Michigan State	W 66–60	+4.7	+1.3
7	vs	Lipscomb	W 97–73	+33.9	-9.9
7	N	Texas Tech	L 81–82	+10.3	-11.3
9	vs	Georgia Tech	W 85–79	+35.7	-29.7
9	at	Florida State	W 91–87	+20.4	-16.4
10	at	Louisville	W 84–73	+9.2	+1.8
10	vs	SMU	W 82–75	+20.6	-13.6
11	at	California	W 71–56	+22.0	-7.0
11	at	Stanford	W 80–50	+20.0	+10.0
12	vs	Wake Forest	W 90–69	+25.7	-4.7
13	vs	Louisville	W 83–52	+14.6	+16.4
13	at	Virginia Tech	W 72–58	+20.1	-6.1
14	vs	Boston College	W 67–49	+36.1	-18.1
14	at	North Carolina	L 68–71	+11.4	-14.4
15	at	Pittsburgh	W 70–54	+23.5	-7.5
15	vs	Clemson	W 67–54	+18.6	-5.6
16	vs	Syracuse	W 101–64	+28.5	+8.5
16	N	Michigan	W 68–63	-0.8	+5.8
17	at	Notre Dame	W 100–56	+24.1	+19.9
17	vs	Virginia	W 77–51	+16.3	+9.7
18	at	NC State	W 93–64	+15.3	+13.7
18	vs	North Carolina	W 76–61	+16.8	-1.8
19	N	Florida State	W 80–79	+23.1	-22.1
19	N	Clemson	W 73–61	+15.9	-3.9
19	N	Virginia	W 74–70	+13.5	-9.5
20	N	Siena	W 71–65	+32.6	-26.6
20	N	TCU	W 81–58	+18.9	+4.1
21	N	St. John's	W 80–75	+8.3	-3.3
21	N	UConn	L 72–73	+7.5	-8.5

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #1 in 2024–25. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 50 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025–26	2 of 365	35–3	31.81	Power
2024–25	1 of 364	35–4	30.50	Power
2023–24	11 of 362	27–9	19.88	Power
2022–23	15 of 363	27–9	16.21	Power
2021–22	11 of 358	32–7	19.07	Power
2020–21	42 of 347	13–11	10.50	Power
2019–20	4 of 353	25–6	176.04	MRI
2018–19	2 of 353	32–6	219.66	MRI
2017–18	4 of 351	28–8	200.72	MRI
2016–17	21 of 351	28–9	149.67	MRI
2015–16	24 of 351	25–11	139.88	MRI
2014–15	4 of 351	35–4	237.23	MRI
2013–14	9 of 351	26–9	171.00	MRI
2012–13	6 of 347	27–5	177.57	MRI
2011–12	19 of 345	27–7	143.02	MRI
2010–11	3 of 346	32–5	217.96	MRI
2009–10	1 of 335	35–5	260.24	MRI
2008–09	6 of 330	30–7	192.47	MRI
2007–08	7 of 328	28–6	176.51	MRI
2006–07	15 of 326	22–11	140.99	MRI
2005–06	4 of 326	32–4	189.67	MRI
2004–05	8 of 326	26–6	161.52	MRI