The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Kansas City

Summit · 2–3

Power-13.2#327 of 365
Résumé-0.51#313 · wins above average
Movement+20up from #347 last week
Best winSouthern Illinois (100–93)
Worst lossJacksonville (61–79)
Schedule faced-1.1 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-8.7 avg opponent
Returning production0% of last season's win shares · #335 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production6.2 win shares from other schools' players
Recruiting class#143 in the country

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 5 games, w is 38%, so the preseason prior is 62% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-2.1 avg× 38%-0.8
Opponents faced-1.1 avg× 38%-0.4
Preseason prior-19.4× 62%-12.0
Power-13.2

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at Creighton L 61–76 -29.0 +14.0 +0.0
2 vs Southern Illinois W 100–93 -10.2 +17.2 +0.2
3 at Jacksonville L 61–79 -9.8 -8.2 -1.8
3 N Florida A&M W 87–65 +7.5 +14.5 +0.7
3 N George Mason L 68–76 -21.8 +13.8 -0.3
Preseason prior (62% of the rating)-12.0
Power-13.2

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
4 vs Newman University non-D1 +22.9 98%
4 at Iona -11.1 16%
5 vs Green Bay -9.1 20%
5 vs Southeast Missouri State -5.8 30%
6 vs Peru State non-D1 +22.9 98%
11 vs South Dakota State -9.9 18%
11 vs South Dakota +2.2 58%
12 at North Dakota State -12.9 12%

Season by season

Best finish: #161 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #161 of 326 (16-12)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #268 of 326 (14-14)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #246 of 326 (12-20)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #279 of 328 (11-21)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #301 of 330 (7-24)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #264 of 335 (12-18)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #250 of 346 (16-14)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #293 of 345 (10-21)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #313 of 347 (7-24)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #290 of 351 (10-20)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #260 of 351 (14-19)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #248 of 351 (12-19)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #216 of 351 (18-17)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #302 of 351 (10-22)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #278 of 353 (10-21)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #250 of 353 (13-14)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #181 of 347 (11-13)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #184 of 358 (19-12)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #306 of 363 (11-21)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #212 of 362 (16-16)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #221 of 364 (13-20)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #360 of 365 (4-27) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 4–27 #360 of 365 · -19.69 –
2024–25 13–20 #221 of 364 · -3.71 –
2023–24 16–16 #212 of 362 · -3.66 –
2022–23 11–21 #306 of 363 · -9.23 –
2021–22 19–12 #184 of 358 · -0.59 –
2020–21 11–13 #181 of 347 · -1.02 –
2019–20 13–14 – #250 of 353 · -1.18
2018–19 10–21 – #278 of 353 · -18.45
2017–18 10–22 – #302 of 351 · -27.09
2016–17 18–17 – #216 of 351 · 17.62
2015–16 12–19 – #248 of 351 · -2.36
2014–15 14–19 – #260 of 351 · -1.08
2013–14 10–20 – #290 of 351 · -17.08
2012–13 7–24 – #313 of 347 · -46.29
2011–12 10–21 – #293 of 345 · -25.37
2010–11 16–14 – #250 of 346 · -2.34
2009–10 12–18 – #264 of 335 · -8.05
2008–09 7–24 – #301 of 330 · -38.45
2007–08 11–21 – #279 of 328 · -20.73
2006–07 12–20 – #246 of 326 · -6.48
2005–06 14–14 – #268 of 326 · -13.16
2004–05 16–12 – #161 of 326 · 32.14