Florida A&M
SWAC · 0–4
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -29.6 avg | × 33% | -9.9 |
| Opponents faced | -6.7 avg | × 33% | -2.2 |
| Preseason prior | -12.8 | × 67% | -8.6 |
| Power | -20.7 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | N | Florida State | L 69–112 | -35.1 | -7.9 | -2.5 |
| 2 | vs | Fort Valley State non-D1 | L 70–75 | +15.5 | -20.5 | -3.6 |
| 3 | at | UAB | L 64–92 | -22.8 | -5.2 | -2.4 |
| 3 | N | Kansas City | L 65–87 | -7.5 | -14.5 | -3.6 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -8.6 | |||||
| Power | -20.7 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at | UTEP | -16.4 | 7% |
| 4 | at | UTSA | -14.1 | 10% |
| 5 | at | South Alabama | -19.0 | 4% |
| 6 | at | Kennesaw State | -25.7 | 1% |
| 6 | N | Tennessee State | -14.2 | 10% |
| 8 | at | Saint Louis | -42.4 | 0% |
| 9 | at | Florida | -52.4 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #193 in 2006–07. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–16 | #323 of 365 · -12.61 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–17 | #324 of 364 · -11.67 | – |
| 2023–24 | 6–23 | #346 of 362 · -15.73 | – |
| 2022–23 | 7–22 | #356 of 363 · -17.47 | – |
| 2021–22 | 13–17 | #301 of 358 · -9.92 | – |
| 2020–21 | 8–12 | #259 of 347 · -6.44 | – |
| 2019–20 | 12–15 | – | #284 of 353 · -19.06 |
| 2018–19 | 10–19 | – | #312 of 353 · -38.06 |
| 2017–18 | 9–25 | – | #343 of 351 · -80.40 |
| 2016–17 | 7–23 | – | #334 of 351 · -61.51 |
| 2015–16 | 8–21 | – | #339 of 351 · -68.90 |
| 2014–15 | 2–27 | – | #349 of 351 · -126.04 |
| 2013–14 | 14–18 | – | #272 of 351 · -8.78 |
| 2012–13 | 6–23 | – | #333 of 347 · -70.19 |
| 2011–12 | 10–21 | – | #318 of 345 · -53.60 |
| 2010–11 | 12–20 | – | #295 of 346 · -24.99 |
| 2009–10 | 9–22 | – | #325 of 335 · -72.15 |
| 2008–09 | 10–21 | – | #322 of 330 · -74.48 |
| 2007–08 | 15–17 | – | #273 of 328 · -17.39 |
| 2006–07 | 21–14 | – | #193 of 326 · 21.31 |
| 2005–06 | 14–17 | – | #258 of 326 · -8.79 |
| 2004–05 | 14–14 | – | #249 of 326 · -3.67 |