Liberty
CUSA · 1–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +9.7 avg | × 20% | +2.0 |
| Opponents faced | -12.0 avg | × 20% | -2.4 |
| Preseason prior | +2.8 | × 80% | +2.2 |
| Power | +1.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | N | High Point | L 57–72 | -12.2 | -2.8 | -0.8 |
| 2 | vs | Boyce non-D1 | W 113–54 | +37.9 | +21.1 | +0.4 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | +2.2 | |||||
| Power | +1.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | North Carolina Central | +20.0 | 97% |
| 4 | N | Southern Illinois | +1.8 | 57% |
| 4 | N | Rhode Island | -2.4 | 42% |
| 4 | N | Richmond | -3.1 | 39% |
| 5 | N | Princeton | +3.4 | 62% |
| 5 | N | St. Thomas-Minnesota | +1.1 | 54% |
| 5 | at | UNC Wilmington | -5.0 | 32% |
| 8 | vs | Dayton | +0.7 | 53% |
Season by season
Best finish: #22 in 2019–20. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 26–8 | #105 of 365 · 4.54 | – |
| 2024–25 | 28–7 | #77 of 364 · 8.56 | – |
| 2023–24 | 18–14 | #114 of 362 · 4.43 | – |
| 2022–23 | 27–9 | #55 of 363 · 10.79 | – |
| 2021–22 | 22–11 | #110 of 358 · 4.72 | – |
| 2020–21 | 23–6 | #75 of 347 · 8.30 | – |
| 2019–20 | 28–4 | – | #22 of 353 · 114.86 |
| 2018–19 | 26–7 | – | #47 of 353 · 100.36 |
| 2017–18 | 22–15 | – | #111 of 351 · 64.82 |
| 2016–17 | 21–14 | – | #185 of 351 · 34.20 |
| 2015–16 | 13–19 | – | #296 of 351 · -24.88 |
| 2014–15 | 8–24 | – | #324 of 351 · -43.79 |
| 2013–14 | 11–21 | – | #226 of 351 · 14.15 |
| 2012–13 | 12–20 | – | #282 of 347 · -24.49 |
| 2011–12 | 14–18 | – | #249 of 345 · -1.27 |
| 2010–11 | 19–13 | – | #150 of 346 · 43.68 |
| 2009–10 | 15–16 | – | #241 of 335 · 3.11 |
| 2008–09 | 23–12 | – | #136 of 330 · 48.05 |
| 2007–08 | 16–16 | – | #178 of 328 · 26.64 |
| 2006–07 | 14–17 | – | #186 of 326 · 22.41 |
| 2005–06 | 7–23 | – | #309 of 326 · -57.49 |
| 2004–05 | 13–15 | – | #258 of 326 · -7.91 |