The MRI
2025–26 · Final

Dayton

A-10 · 25–12

Power+9.9#64 of 365
Résumé+10.62#45 · wins above average
Trendrating by week
Best winSaint Louis (77–62)
Worst lossLa Salle (64–67)
Schedule faced+4.4 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs Canisius W 88–48 +29.1 +10.9
1 vs UMBC W 77–71 +13.6 -7.6
2 at Cincinnati L 62–74 -7.2 -4.8
2 vs Bethune-Cookman W 91–82 +19.2 -10.2
3 at Marquette W 77–71 -1.7 +7.7
3 vs North Carolina Central W 74–55 +26.8 -7.8
4 N Georgetown W 84–79 +2.9 +2.1
4 N BYU L 79–83 -9.3 +5.3
5 vs East Tennessee State W 88–71 +9.2 +7.8
5 N Virginia L 73–86 -8.4 -4.6
6 vs North Florida W 84–61 +26.0 -3.0
7 vs Florida State W 97–69 +3.9 +24.1
7 vs Liberty L 61–64 +6.9 -9.9
9 vs Fordham W 63–56 +14.2 -7.2
9 at Loyola Chicago W 70–68 +14.8 -12.8
10 vs George Washington W 79–72 +4.9 +2.1
11 at Duquesne W 71–65 +5.2 +0.8
11 vs Loyola Chicago W 78–51 +20.3 +6.7
12 at La Salle L 64–67 +13.1 -16.1
12 at Saint Joseph's L 74–81 +2.9 -9.9
13 vs Rhode Island L 76–81 +11.4 -16.4
13 at Saint Louis L 71–102 -9.3 -21.7
14 vs St. Bonaventure W 72–70 +10.0 -8.0
14 at VCU L 73–99 -7.9 -18.1
15 vs Davidson W 70–59 +9.6 +1.4
16 at George Mason W 82–67 +0.2 +14.8
16 vs Duquesne W 78–66 +10.6 +1.4
17 vs Saint Louis W 77–62 -3.9 +18.9
17 at George Washington W 68–66 -0.6 +2.6
18 at Richmond W 65–60 +7.0 -2.0
18 vs VCU L 62–68 -2.5 -3.5
19 N St. Bonaventure W 68–63 +7.3 -2.3
19 N Saint Louis W 70–69 -6.6 +7.6
19 N VCU L 62–70 -5.2 -2.8
20 at Bradley W 80–66 +2.2 +11.8
20 at UNC Wilmington W 80–61 +2.1 +16.9
21 vs Illinois State L 55–61 +5.8 -11.8

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #2 in 2019–20. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 200 2004–05: #104 of 326 (18-11)2005–06: #140 of 326 (14-17)2006–07: #109 of 326 (19-12)2007–08: #49 of 328 (23-11)2008–09: #47 of 330 (27-8)2009–10: #22 of 335 (25-12)2010–11: #104 of 346 (22-14)2011–12: #59 of 345 (20-13)2012–13: #71 of 347 (17-14)2013–14: #41 of 351 (26-11)2014–15: #50 of 351 (27-9)2015–16: #50 of 351 (25-8)2016–17: #43 of 351 (24-8)2017–18: #187 of 351 (14-17)2018–19: #67 of 353 (21-12)2019–20: #2 of 353 (29-2)2020–21: #73 of 347 (14-10)2021–22: #50 of 358 (24-11)2022–23: #65 of 363 (22-12)2023–24: #34 of 362 (25-8)2024–25: #67 of 364 (23-11)2025–26: #64 of 365 (25-12) 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 200 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025–26 64 of 365 25–12 9.88 Power
2024–25 67 of 364 23–11 9.39 Power
2023–24 34 of 362 25–8 13.45 Power
2022–23 65 of 363 22–12 9.86 Power
2021–22 50 of 358 24–11 10.47 Power
2020–21 73 of 347 14–10 7.77 Power
2019–20 2 of 353 29–2 180.58 MRI
2018–19 67 of 353 21–12 84.71 MRI
2017–18 187 of 351 14–17 31.43 MRI
2016–17 43 of 351 24–8 110.62 MRI
2015–16 50 of 351 25–8 107.94 MRI
2014–15 50 of 351 27–9 100.93 MRI
2013–14 41 of 351 26–11 113.41 MRI
2012–13 71 of 347 17–14 80.36 MRI
2011–12 59 of 345 20–13 95.04 MRI
2010–11 104 of 346 22–14 68.52 MRI
2009–10 22 of 335 25–12 141.69 MRI
2008–09 47 of 330 27–8 106.86 MRI
2007–08 49 of 328 23–11 103.39 MRI
2006–07 109 of 326 19–12 60.00 MRI
2005–06 140 of 326 14–17 41.49 MRI
2004–05 104 of 326 18–11 57.55 MRI