Toledo

MAC · 19–15

Power+2.2#137 of 365

Résumé+0.55#156 · wins above average

Trendrating by week

Best winTroy (75–68)
Worst lossJames Madison (71–73)
Schedule faced-2.5 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	vs	South Alabama	L 74–76	+4.8	-6.8
1	vs	Marshall	L 73–85	+6.1	-18.1
2	at	Wright State	W 81–71	-2.7	+12.7
2	vs	Detroit Mercy	W 90–83	+11.2	-4.2
3	vs	Youngstown State	W 92–75	+6.6	+10.4
4	N	Troy	W 75–68	-1.4	+8.4
4	N	Belmont	L 72–87	-8.1	-6.9
5	vs	Central State (OH) non-D1	W 102–58	+42.9	+1.1
5	at	Oakland	L 97–98	-0.8	-0.2
6	at	Robert Morris	L 70–75	-1.9	-3.1
7	at	Michigan State	L 69–92	-24.8	+1.8
7	vs	Lourdes University non-D1	W 100–67	+42.9	-9.9
9	vs	Western Michigan	W 84–79	+14.3	-9.3
9	at	Central Michigan	W 78–75	+6.8	-3.8
10	at	Northern Illinois	W 75–61	+14.4	-0.4
10	vs	Miami (OH)	L 73–87	-3.4	-10.6
11	vs	Ohio	W 101–85	+8.8	+7.2
11	at	Kent State	L 84–87	-2.6	-0.4
12	at	Massachusetts	L 82–84	+1.3	-3.3
12	vs	Bowling Green	W 73–72	+4.3	-3.3
13	at	Akron	L 81–91	-12.3	+2.3
13	vs	Ball State	W 73–55	+14.1	+3.9
14	vs	Kent State	L 72–75	+2.8	-5.8
14	at	James Madison	L 71–73	+1.5	-3.5
15	at	Western Michigan	W 90–79	+8.9	+2.1
15	at	Bowling Green	L 70–80	-1.2	-8.8
16	vs	Eastern Michigan	W 94–75	+11.4	+7.6
17	vs	Northern Illinois	W 79–69	+19.8	-9.8
17	at	Ohio	W 79–67	+3.3	+8.7
18	at	Miami (OH)	L 72–74	-8.9	+6.9
18	vs	Buffalo	W 98–78	+9.8	+10.2
19	N	Bowling Green	W 77–76	+1.5	-0.5
19	N	Massachusetts	W 77–67	+4.0	+6.0
19	N	Akron	L 76–79	-9.6	+6.6

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #48 in 2020–21. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025–26	137 of 365	19–15	2.25	Power
2024–25	203 of 364	18–15	-2.24	Power
2023–24	114 of 362	20–12	4.62	Power
2022–23	73 of 363	27–8	9.15	Power
2021–22	51 of 358	26–8	10.46	Power
2020–21	48 of 347	21–9	9.86	Power
2019–20	149 of 353	16–15	43.11	MRI
2018–19	51 of 353	24–8	96.10	MRI
2017–18	85 of 351	23–11	80.70	MRI
2016–17	121 of 351	17–17	57.57	MRI
2015–16	102 of 351	17–15	71.91	MRI
2014–15	75 of 351	20–13	84.58	MRI
2013–14	54 of 351	27–7	100.01	MRI
2012–13	180 of 347	15–13	25.27	MRI
2011–12	201 of 345	15–15	19.88	MRI
2010–11	341 of 346	4–28	-93.04	MRI
2009–10	333 of 335	4–28	-88.39	MRI
2008–09	316 of 330	7–25	-61.06	MRI
2007–08	293 of 328	11–19	-30.30	MRI
2006–07	145 of 326	19–13	42.36	MRI
2005–06	101 of 326	20–11	62.65	MRI
2004–05	114 of 326	16–13	52.88	MRI