The MRI
2025–26 · Final

Air Force

Mountain West · 3–29

Power-18.2#358 of 365
Résumé-9.50#688 · wins above average
Trendrating by week
Best winSIU Edwardsville (77–63)
Worst lossSouth Dakota (63–80)
Schedule faced+4.3 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 at Belmont L 63–79 -31.3 +15.3
1 vs Austin Peay L 54–74 -15.2 -4.8
2 vs Long Island University L 72–76 -11.4 +7.4
2 vs Miami (OH) L 61–76 -23.9 +8.9
3 vs Alabama State W 66–64 -3.2 +5.2
3 vs SIU Edwardsville W 77–63 -11.3 +25.3
3 vs IU Indianapolis W 98–85 -2.9 +15.9
4 vs Northern Colorado L 53–71 -17.4 -0.6
4 at South Dakota L 63–80 -12.8 -4.2
5 vs Pacific L 65–80 -15.8 +0.8
5 at Navy L 56–61 -21.4 +16.4
7 at San Diego State L 58–81 -34.7 +11.7
9 vs Wyoming L 56–68 -20.0 +8.0
9 at UNLV L 39–67 -25.5 -2.5
10 vs Utah State L 62–99 -33.6 -3.4
10 vs New Mexico L 49–91 -30.6 -11.4
11 at San José State L 62–70 -15.3 +7.3
11 vs Nevada L 66–81 -25.2 +10.2
12 at Colorado State L 52–81 -29.6 +0.6
12 at Boise State L 54–96 -31.9 -10.1
13 vs Fresno State L 62–79 -14.3 -2.7
14 at Grand Canyon L 57–81 -31.5 +7.5
14 vs San Diego State L 54–88 -29.3 -4.7
15 vs Colorado State L 74–91 -24.2 +7.2
15 at Fresno State L 63–93 -19.8 -10.2
16 at New Mexico L 61–98 -36.1 -0.9
16 vs UNLV L 66–91 -20.1 -4.9
17 vs San José State L 80–86 -9.8 +3.8
17 at Wyoming L 62–66 -25.5 +21.5
18 vs Grand Canyon L 60–86 -26.0 +0.0
18 at Nevada L 59–74 -30.6 +15.6
19 N Nevada L 45–80 -27.9 -7.1

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #12 in 2006–07. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 400 2004–05: #75 of 326 (18-11)2005–06: #66 of 326 (24-7)2006–07: #12 of 326 (26-9)2007–08: #175 of 328 (16-14)2008–09: #263 of 330 (10-21)2009–10: #270 of 335 (10-21)2010–11: #176 of 346 (16-16)2011–12: #217 of 345 (12-16)2012–13: #150 of 347 (15-13)2013–14: #273 of 351 (12-18)2014–15: #214 of 351 (14-17)2015–16: #261 of 351 (14-18)2016–17: #233 of 351 (12-21)2017–18: #275 of 351 (12-19)2018–19: #262 of 353 (13-18)2019–20: #245 of 353 (11-20)2020–21: #325 of 347 (5-20)2021–22: #298 of 358 (11-18)2022–23: #203 of 363 (14-18)2023–24: #263 of 362 (9-22)2024–25: #320 of 364 (4-28)2025–26: #358 of 365 (3-29) 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025–26 358 of 365 3–29 -18.25 Power
2024–25 320 of 364 4–28 -11.24 Power
2023–24 263 of 362 9–22 -5.94 Power
2022–23 203 of 363 14–18 -1.96 Power
2021–22 298 of 358 11–18 -8.72 Power
2020–21 325 of 347 5–20 -12.69 Power
2019–20 245 of 353 11–20 0.43 MRI
2018–19 262 of 353 13–18 -8.05 MRI
2017–18 275 of 351 12–19 -11.07 MRI
2016–17 233 of 351 12–21 10.69 MRI
2015–16 261 of 351 14–18 -10.43 MRI
2014–15 214 of 351 14–17 18.78 MRI
2013–14 273 of 351 12–18 -8.95 MRI
2012–13 150 of 347 15–13 37.72 MRI
2011–12 217 of 345 12–16 14.23 MRI
2010–11 176 of 346 16–16 33.26 MRI
2009–10 270 of 335 10–21 -12.41 MRI
2008–09 263 of 330 10–21 -10.06 MRI
2007–08 175 of 328 16–14 28.89 MRI
2006–07 12 of 326 26–9 148.48 MRI
2005–06 66 of 326 24–7 88.35 MRI
2004–05 75 of 326 18–11 75.19 MRI