The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Georgia

SEC · 3–0

Power+13.8#61 of 365
Résumé+0.61#64 · wins above average
Movement-13down from #48 last week
Best winFlorida Gulf Coast (80–72)
Schedule faced-8.8 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+12.8 avg opponent
Returning production45% of last season's win shares · #49 of 364
Incoming production7.3 win shares from other schools' players
Recruiting class#43 in the country

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+10.3 avg× 27%+2.8
Opponents faced-8.8 avg× 27%-2.4
Preseason prior+18.4× 73%+13.4
Power+13.8

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs North Carolina Central W 78–62 +32.0 -16.0 +0.0
2 vs Presbyterian W 91–77 +23.0 -9.0 +0.5
3 vs Florida Gulf Coast W 80–72 +21.5 -13.5 -0.1
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)+13.4
Power+13.8

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at North Carolina -8.0 23%
4 vs Jacksonville +23.1 98%
4 at Georgia Tech +7.1 74%
5 N Cincinnati -8.7 22%
5 N UCF +3.8 63%
6 vs Boston College +9.8 81%
7 N Duke -17.9 5%
7 vs Alabama A&M +29.6 100%

Season by season

Best finish: #30 in 2025–26. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 300 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #266 of 326 (8-20)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #150 of 326 (15-15)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #53 of 326 (19-14)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #122 of 328 (17-17)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #249 of 330 (12-20)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #138 of 335 (14-17)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #69 of 346 (21-12)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #141 of 345 (15-17)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #142 of 347 (15-17)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #81 of 351 (20-14)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #64 of 351 (21-12)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #109 of 351 (20-14)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #102 of 351 (19-15)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #119 of 351 (18-15)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #206 of 353 (11-21)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #117 of 353 (15-16)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #126 of 347 (14-12)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #238 of 358 (6-26)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #150 of 363 (16-16)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #86 of 362 (20-17)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #42 of 364 (20-13)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #30 of 365 (22-11) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 300 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 22–11 #30 of 365 · 18.28 –
2024–25 20–13 #42 of 364 · 14.03 –
2023–24 20–17 #86 of 362 · 7.51 –
2022–23 16–16 #150 of 363 · 1.38 –
2021–22 6–26 #238 of 358 · -4.61 –
2020–21 14–12 #126 of 347 · 3.06 –
2019–20 15–16 – #117 of 353 · 55.15
2018–19 11–21 – #206 of 353 · 14.81
2017–18 18–15 – #119 of 351 · 62.65
2016–17 19–15 – #102 of 351 · 66.86
2015–16 20–14 – #109 of 351 · 66.87
2014–15 21–12 – #64 of 351 · 88.25
2013–14 20–14 – #81 of 351 · 80.15
2012–13 15–17 – #142 of 347 · 41.20
2011–12 15–17 – #141 of 345 · 48.35
2010–11 21–12 – #69 of 346 · 87.46
2009–10 14–17 – #138 of 335 · 50.59
2008–09 12–20 – #249 of 330 · -3.42
2007–08 17–17 – #122 of 328 · 56.94
2006–07 19–14 – #53 of 326 · 101.84
2005–06 15–15 – #150 of 326 · 38.95
2004–05 8–20 – #266 of 326 · -11.52