South Carolina State
MEAC · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +12.6 avg | × 33% | +4.2 |
| Opponents faced | -12.5 avg | × 33% | -4.2 |
| Preseason prior | -17.7 | × 67% | -11.8 |
| Power | -11.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Morris College non-D1 | W 94–55 | +24.3 | +14.7 | +0.1 |
| 2 | at | South Carolina Upstate | W 78–70 | -0.8 | +8.8 | +0.5 |
| 3 | at | Chicago State | W 82–67 | -0.1 | +15.1 | +1.3 |
| 3 | at | Notre Dame | L 59–99 | -27.2 | -12.8 | -1.9 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -11.8 | |||||
| Power | -11.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Charleston | -19.0 | 4% |
| 4 | at | The Citadel | +1.1 | 54% |
| 5 | vs | North Carolina A&T | +2.6 | 59% |
| 5 | at | Duquesne | -11.9 | 14% |
| 6 | vs | Charleston Southern | +0.1 | 50% |
Season by season
Best finish: #108 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 10–22 | #352 of 365 · -17.48 | – |
| 2024–25 | 20–13 | #175 of 364 · -0.90 | – |
| 2023–24 | 14–18 | #312 of 362 · -10.17 | – |
| 2022–23 | 5–26 | #348 of 363 · -14.42 | – |
| 2021–22 | 15–16 | #328 of 358 · -12.35 | – |
| 2020–21 | 1–17 | #342 of 347 · -19.19 | – |
| 2019–20 | 9–18 | – | #300 of 353 · -28.64 |
| 2018–19 | 6–26 | – | #321 of 353 · -45.93 |
| 2017–18 | 10–22 | – | #335 of 351 · -63.38 |
| 2016–17 | 11–20 | – | #331 of 351 · -53.06 |
| 2015–16 | 19–15 | – | #232 of 351 · 7.06 |
| 2014–15 | 11–22 | – | #327 of 351 · -47.60 |
| 2013–14 | 9–21 | – | #332 of 351 · -59.62 |
| 2012–13 | 4–24 | – | #336 of 347 · -76.49 |
| 2011–12 | 5–26 | – | #342 of 345 · -95.52 |
| 2010–11 | 10–22 | – | #312 of 346 · -40.46 |
| 2009–10 | 18–14 | – | #224 of 335 · 9.55 |
| 2008–09 | 17–14 | – | #187 of 330 · 25.72 |
| 2007–08 | 13–20 | – | #283 of 328 · -22.75 |
| 2006–07 | 13–17 | – | #230 of 326 · 2.11 |
| 2005–06 | 14–16 | – | #239 of 326 · 0.16 |
| 2004–05 | 19–12 | – | #108 of 326 · 55.73 |