North Carolina A&T
CAA · 0–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -3.1 avg | × 20% | -0.6 |
| Opponents faced | -3.9 avg | × 20% | -0.8 |
| Preseason prior | -12.6 | × 80% | -10.0 |
| Power | -11.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Ohio | L 70–80 | -14.0 | +4.0 | -0.7 |
| 3 | at | East Carolina | L 67–72 | -7.0 | +2.0 | -0.7 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | -10.0 | |||||
| Power | -11.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Warren Wilson non-D1 | +24.7 | 99% |
| 3 | vs | Cheyney (PA) non-D1 | +24.7 | 99% |
| 4 | vs | Morgan State | +5.8 | 70% |
| 5 | at | South Carolina State | -2.6 | 41% |
| 5 | vs | Delaware State | +4.8 | 67% |
| 10 | at | Elon | -10.6 | 17% |
| 10 | at | Charleston | -18.7 | 4% |
| 11 | vs | UNC Wilmington | -12.3 | 13% |
Season by season
Best finish: #199 in 2012–13. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 11–19 | #305 of 365 · -10.89 | – |
| 2024–25 | 7–25 | #337 of 364 · -13.62 | – |
| 2023–24 | 7–25 | #351 of 362 · -16.70 | – |
| 2022–23 | 13–19 | #300 of 363 · -8.84 | – |
| 2021–22 | 12–20 | #287 of 358 · -8.31 | – |
| 2020–21 | 11–10 | #273 of 347 · -7.95 | – |
| 2019–20 | 16–15 | – | #252 of 353 · -1.73 |
| 2018–19 | 17–13 | – | #259 of 353 · -7.00 |
| 2017–18 | 20–15 | – | #224 of 351 · 14.18 |
| 2016–17 | 3–29 | – | #350 of 351 · -104.11 |
| 2015–16 | 10–22 | – | #323 of 351 · -42.16 |
| 2014–15 | 9–23 | – | #328 of 351 · -48.71 |
| 2013–14 | 9–23 | – | #325 of 351 · -47.57 |
| 2012–13 | 18–16 | – | #199 of 347 · 19.07 |
| 2011–12 | 12–20 | – | #292 of 345 · -24.64 |
| 2010–11 | 15–17 | – | #272 of 346 · -12.60 |
| 2009–10 | 11–22 | – | #291 of 335 · -26.06 |
| 2008–09 | 16–16 | – | #254 of 330 · -4.05 |
| 2007–08 | 15–16 | – | #253 of 328 · -8.91 |
| 2006–07 | 15–17 | – | #228 of 326 · 2.47 |
| 2005–06 | 6–23 | – | #313 of 326 · -62.85 |
| 2004–05 | 5–24 | – | #315 of 326 · -65.51 |