The Citadel
SoCon · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +18.5 avg | × 27% | +5.1 |
| Opponents faced | -30.8 avg | × 27% | -8.4 |
| Preseason prior | -17.2 | × 73% | -12.5 |
| Power | -15.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Loyola Chicago | L 52–77 | -14.2 | -10.8 | -2.6 |
| 2 | vs | Erskine non-D1 | W 100–57 | +20.3 | +22.7 | -0.1 |
| 3 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg non-D1 | W 131–50 | +20.3 | +60.7 | -0.6 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -12.5 | |||||
| Power | -15.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | North Florida | -6.6 | 27% |
| 4 | at | Clemson | -33.2 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | South Carolina State | -1.1 | 46% |
| 5 | vs | South Carolina Upstate | +1.1 | 54% |
| 5 | at | High Point | -32.7 | 0% |
| 6 | at | Charleston Southern | -9.8 | 19% |
| 6 | at | Western Carolina | -16.7 | 6% |
| 8 | vs | Tennessee Tech | -6.0 | 29% |
Season by season
Best finish: #141 in 2008–09. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 11–22 | #348 of 365 · -15.85 | – |
| 2024–25 | 5–25 | #354 of 364 · -16.91 | – |
| 2023–24 | 11–21 | #282 of 362 · -7.51 | – |
| 2022–23 | 10–22 | #316 of 363 · -10.13 | – |
| 2021–22 | 13–18 | #233 of 358 · -4.19 | – |
| 2020–21 | 13–12 | #216 of 347 · -3.18 | – |
| 2019–20 | 3–24 | – | #342 of 353 · -78.01 |
| 2018–19 | 9–18 | – | #298 of 353 · -30.02 |
| 2017–18 | 11–21 | – | #318 of 351 · -38.76 |
| 2016–17 | 12–21 | – | #297 of 351 · -25.09 |
| 2015–16 | 10–22 | – | #327 of 351 · -47.91 |
| 2014–15 | 11–19 | – | #319 of 351 · -37.06 |
| 2013–14 | 7–26 | – | #346 of 351 · -76.40 |
| 2012–13 | 6–22 | – | #339 of 347 · -84.06 |
| 2011–12 | 6–23 | – | #320 of 345 · -55.05 |
| 2010–11 | 10–22 | – | #268 of 346 · -11.34 |
| 2009–10 | 16–16 | – | #179 of 335 · 31.93 |
| 2008–09 | 20–13 | – | #141 of 330 · 44.84 |
| 2007–08 | 6–24 | – | #322 of 328 · -78.69 |
| 2006–07 | 7–23 | – | #315 of 326 · -53.83 |
| 2005–06 | 10–21 | – | #312 of 326 · -61.33 |
| 2004–05 | 12–16 | – | #275 of 326 · -16.41 |