Western Carolina
SoCon · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +19.7 avg | × 27% | +5.4 |
| Opponents faced | -13.5 avg | × 27% | -3.7 |
| Preseason prior | -5.2 | × 73% | -3.8 |
| Power | -2.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | North Carolina | L 72–80 | -23.9 | +15.9 | +1.4 |
| 2 | at | UNC Asheville | W 83–75 | +4.2 | +3.8 | +1.0 |
| 3 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg non-D1 | W 136–68 | +34.1 | +33.9 | -0.7 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -3.8 | |||||
| Power | -2.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Lipscomb | +2.5 | 59% |
| 4 | at | Butler | -13.7 | 11% |
| 4 | at | Wake Forest | -14.3 | 10% |
| 5 | vs | Montreat non-D1 | +34.1 | 100% |
| 5 | at | Charlotte | -5.0 | 32% |
| 6 | vs | The Citadel | +16.7 | 94% |
| 8 | at | Furman | -8.9 | 21% |
| 9 | at | Wofford | -0.3 | 49% |
Season by season
Best finish: #116 in 2023–24. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–16 | #224 of 365 · -4.83 | – |
| 2024–25 | 8–22 | #331 of 364 · -12.56 | – |
| 2023–24 | 22–10 | #116 of 362 · 3.94 | – |
| 2022–23 | 18–16 | #227 of 363 · -3.87 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–21 | #297 of 358 · -9.10 | – |
| 2020–21 | 11–16 | #215 of 347 · -3.11 | – |
| 2019–20 | 17–12 | – | #136 of 353 · 46.43 |
| 2018–19 | 6–25 | – | #329 of 353 · -53.66 |
| 2017–18 | 13–19 | – | #296 of 351 · -21.37 |
| 2016–17 | 9–23 | – | #325 of 351 · -44.69 |
| 2015–16 | 16–18 | – | #208 of 351 · 18.06 |
| 2014–15 | 15–17 | – | #211 of 351 · 20.61 |
| 2013–14 | 19–15 | – | #190 of 351 · 30.83 |
| 2012–13 | 12–19 | – | #223 of 347 · 6.84 |
| 2011–12 | 16–17 | – | #214 of 345 · 14.77 |
| 2010–11 | 18–15 | – | #181 of 346 · 32.11 |
| 2009–10 | 22–12 | – | #117 of 335 · 60.71 |
| 2008–09 | 16–15 | – | #178 of 330 · 30.18 |
| 2007–08 | 10–21 | – | #241 of 328 · -5.44 |
| 2006–07 | 11–20 | – | #239 of 326 · -2.69 |
| 2005–06 | 13–17 | – | #225 of 326 · 7.85 |
| 2004–05 | 8–22 | – | #300 of 326 · -36.79 |