UT Arlington
UAC · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +20.0 avg | × 33% | +6.6 |
| Opponents faced | -20.1 avg | × 33% | -6.7 |
| Preseason prior | -6.3 | × 67% | -4.2 |
| Power | -4.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | UT Rio Grande Valley | +5.1 | 68% |
| 4 | at | Southern Miss | -1.9 | 43% |
| 4 | at | Northwestern State | +4.2 | 65% |
| 5 | vs | Oral Roberts | +7.9 | 76% |
| 11 | vs | Central Arkansas | +0.2 | 51% |
| 12 | vs | Austin Peay | -1.8 | 43% |
| 12 | at | Abilene Christian | +3.6 | 63% |
| 13 | at | West Georgia | +7.3 | 75% |
Season by season
Best finish: #35 in 2016–17. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 300 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 18–14 | #182 of 365 · -1.49 | – |
| 2024–25 | 13–18 | #215 of 364 · -3.46 | – |
| 2023–24 | 20–14 | #129 of 362 · 2.93 | – |
| 2022–23 | 11–21 | #247 of 363 · -5.05 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–18 | #210 of 358 · -2.59 | – |
| 2020–21 | 13–13 | #190 of 347 · -1.83 | – |
| 2019–20 | 12–18 | – | #173 of 353 · 34.01 |
| 2018–19 | 16–16 | – | #175 of 353 · 29.23 |
| 2017–18 | 21–13 | – | #103 of 351 · 70.88 |
| 2016–17 | 27–9 | – | #35 of 351 · 118.04 |
| 2015–16 | 24–11 | – | #43 of 351 · 111.44 |
| 2014–15 | 16–15 | – | #174 of 351 · 34.23 |
| 2013–14 | 15–17 | – | #245 of 351 · 7.90 |
| 2012–13 | 19–13 | – | #109 of 347 · 55.50 |
| 2011–12 | 24–9 | – | #52 of 345 · 101.74 |
| 2010–11 | 13–16 | – | #230 of 346 · 8.96 |
| 2009–10 | 16–14 | – | #194 of 335 · 21.08 |
| 2008–09 | 16–14 | – | #132 of 330 · 49.32 |
| 2007–08 | 21–12 | – | #125 of 328 · 55.89 |
| 2006–07 | 13–17 | – | #242 of 326 · -4.34 |
| 2005–06 | 14–16 | – | #180 of 326 · 28.96 |
| 2004–05 | 12–15 | – | #252 of 326 · -6.34 |