The MRI
2025–26 · Final

Texas State

Sun Belt · 19–13

Power-4.5#226 of 365
Résumé-2.45#568 · wins above average
Trendrating by week
Best winTroy (74–62)
Worst lossLouisiana (54–67)
Schedule faced-7.1 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 at Bowling Green L 48–83 -7.9 -27.1
1 vs Texas A&M-San Antonio non-D1 W 114–55 +36.1 +22.9
1 at Tulane L 71–79 -3.5 -4.5
2 vs UTSA W 80–69 +12.9 -1.9
2 vs Texas Southern W 77–67 +9.9 +0.1
3 vs Abilene Christian W 63–49 +4.6 +9.4
3 vs Little Rock W 65–56 +7.7 +1.3
4 vs Texas Lutheran non-D1 W 93–41 +36.1 +15.9
4 N Seattle U L 52–66 -8.6 -5.4
4 N Lehigh L 74–78 +4.9 -8.9
5 at Rice L 72–77 -2.0 -3.0
6 vs Southern W 86–83 +5.8 -2.8
7 vs Arkansas State L 70–89 -5.6 -13.4
7 vs South Alabama W 67–65 -1.9 +3.9
9 at Troy L 80–100 -10.8 -9.2
9 at UL Monroe W 84–79 +11.6 -6.6
10 at Southern Miss L 70–80 -3.2 -6.8
10 at Arkansas State L 82–83 -11.1 +10.1
11 vs Louisiana W 59–54 +10.2 -5.2
11 vs Southern Miss W 74–67 +2.3 +4.7
12 at Coastal Carolina L 70–72 -0.9 -1.1
12 at James Madison L 57–82 -5.2 -19.8
13 vs Marshall W 72–68 -0.7 +4.7
13 vs Old Dominion W 81–64 +4.8 +12.2
14 at Georgia Southern W 77–71 -2.1 +8.1
14 vs Western Michigan W 77–61 +7.6 +8.4
15 vs Troy W 74–62 -5.4 +17.4
15 vs UL Monroe W 95–84 +17.0 -6.0
16 at South Alabama W 90–82 -7.4 +15.4
16 at Louisiana L 54–67 +4.8 -17.8
17 vs App State W 60–57 -1.0 +4.0
18 N Southern Miss L 77–81 -0.5 -3.5

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #74 in 2019–20. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 400 2004–05: #231 of 326 (14-14)2005–06: #317 of 326 (3-24)2006–07: #302 of 326 (9-20)2007–08: #185 of 328 (13-16)2008–09: #166 of 330 (14-16)2009–10: #205 of 335 (15-16)2010–11: #198 of 346 (16-16)2011–12: #235 of 345 (12-15)2012–13: #301 of 347 (11-22)2013–14: #277 of 351 (8-23)2014–15: #210 of 351 (14-17)2015–16: #201 of 351 (15-16)2016–17: #133 of 351 (22-14)2017–18: #213 of 351 (15-18)2018–19: #85 of 353 (22-10)2019–20: #74 of 353 (19-11)2020–21: #125 of 347 (18-7)2021–22: #108 of 358 (21-8)2022–23: #199 of 363 (16-19)2023–24: #180 of 362 (17-18)2024–25: #190 of 364 (16-16)2025–26: #226 of 365 (19-13) 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025–26 226 of 365 19–13 -4.49 Power
2024–25 190 of 364 16–16 -1.51 Power
2023–24 180 of 362 17–18 -1.18 Power
2022–23 199 of 363 16–19 -1.60 Power
2021–22 108 of 358 21–8 4.84 Power
2020–21 125 of 347 18–7 3.06 Power
2019–20 74 of 353 19–11 82.22 MRI
2018–19 85 of 353 22–10 70.22 MRI
2017–18 213 of 351 15–18 21.36 MRI
2016–17 133 of 351 22–14 53.17 MRI
2015–16 201 of 351 15–16 21.73 MRI
2014–15 210 of 351 14–17 20.75 MRI
2013–14 277 of 351 8–23 -11.34 MRI
2012–13 301 of 347 11–22 -32.87 MRI
2011–12 235 of 345 12–15 6.57 MRI
2010–11 198 of 346 16–16 24.95 MRI
2009–10 205 of 335 15–16 17.35 MRI
2008–09 166 of 330 14–16 33.61 MRI
2007–08 185 of 328 13–16 23.34 MRI
2006–07 302 of 326 9–20 -37.83 MRI
2005–06 317 of 326 3–24 -66.51 MRI
2004–05 231 of 326 14–14 5.90 MRI