Norfolk State
MEAC · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -7.4 avg | × 33% | -2.4 |
| Opponents faced | -18.2 avg | × 33% | -6.1 |
| Preseason prior | -10.5 | × 67% | -7.0 |
| Power | -15.5 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Regent non-D1 | W 68–45 | +20.6 | +2.4 | -1.6 |
| 2 | vs | Randolph College non-D1 | W 78–71 | +20.6 | -13.6 | -2.0 |
| 2 | at | William & Mary | L 73–104 | -16.7 | -14.3 | -2.6 |
| 3 | vs | Old Dominion | L 60–71 | -10.2 | -0.8 | -2.3 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -7.0 | |||||
| Power | -15.5 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Georgia State | -11.9 | 14% |
| 4 | at | Georgia Tech | -22.2 | 2% |
| 4 | vs | UNC Wilmington | -16.4 | 7% |
| 5 | at | NC State | -38.0 | 0% |
| 6 | at | Washington | -27.4 | 1% |
| 10 | at | Tennessee | -47.0 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #142 in 2024–25. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 300 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–17 | #277 of 365 · -8.44 | – |
| 2024–25 | 24–11 | #142 of 364 · 1.47 | – |
| 2023–24 | 24–11 | #182 of 362 · -1.68 | – |
| 2022–23 | 22–11 | #155 of 363 · 0.88 | – |
| 2021–22 | 24–7 | #161 of 358 · 0.57 | – |
| 2020–21 | 17–8 | #180 of 347 · -0.99 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–14 | – | #203 of 353 · 17.03 |
| 2018–19 | 19–14 | – | #200 of 353 · 19.31 |
| 2017–18 | 14–19 | – | #251 of 351 · 3.04 |
| 2016–17 | 17–17 | – | #244 of 351 · 4.27 |
| 2015–16 | 17–17 | – | #202 of 351 · 21.28 |
| 2014–15 | 20–14 | – | #143 of 351 · 48.99 |
| 2013–14 | 19–15 | – | #206 of 351 · 23.19 |
| 2012–13 | 21–11 | – | #174 of 347 · 25.72 |
| 2011–12 | 25–10 | – | #144 of 345 · 47.75 |
| 2010–11 | 12–20 | – | #288 of 346 · -20.11 |
| 2009–10 | 11–19 | – | #281 of 335 · -18.81 |
| 2008–09 | 13–18 | – | #278 of 330 · -16.49 |
| 2007–08 | 16–15 | – | #224 of 328 · 4.95 |
| 2006–07 | 11–19 | – | #295 of 326 · -34.99 |
| 2005–06 | 13–18 | – | #236 of 326 · 0.90 |
| 2004–05 | 12–14 | – | #238 of 326 · 1.62 |