The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

DePaul

Big East · 3–0

Power+9.1#85 of 365
Résumé+1.01#34 · wins above average
Movement+7up from #92 last week
Best winSouth Florida (82–80)
Schedule faced-4.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+1.9 avg opponent
Returning production31% of last season's win shares · #113 of 364
Incoming production15.9 win shares from other schools' players
Recruiting class#95 in the country

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+14.9 avg× 27%+4.0
Opponents faced-4.5 avg× 27%-1.2
Preseason prior+8.7× 73%+6.3
Power+9.1

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs West Georgia W 75–58 +26.6 -9.6 +0.1
2 vs South Florida W 82–80 -1.8 +3.8 +0.8
3 vs Alabama A&M W 84–47 +24.9 +12.1 +1.9
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)+6.3
Power+9.1

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Northwestern -5.7 30%
4 vs Maryland Eastern Shore +28.4 100%
5 N Purdue -11.0 16%
5 N Pittsburgh -0.6 48%
6 vs North Alabama +23.5 98%
6 vs SMU -2.3 42%
7 vs Maine +25.2 99%
7 at Saint Louis -12.6 13%

Season by season

Best finish: #53 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #53 of 326 (20-11)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #158 of 326 (12-15)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #69 of 326 (20-14)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #197 of 328 (11-19)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #288 of 330 (9-24)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #262 of 335 (8-23)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #296 of 346 (7-24)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #228 of 345 (11-19)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #231 of 347 (11-21)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #254 of 351 (12-21)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #268 of 351 (12-20)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #257 of 351 (9-22)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #272 of 351 (9-23)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #173 of 351 (11-20)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #114 of 353 (19-17)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #145 of 353 (15-16)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #173 of 347 (5-14)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #113 of 358 (15-16)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #157 of 363 (10-23)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #310 of 362 (3-29)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #149 of 364 (14-20)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #102 of 365 (16-16) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 16–16 #102 of 365 · 5.49 –
2024–25 14–20 #149 of 364 · 0.95 –
2023–24 3–29 #310 of 362 · -10.04 –
2022–23 10–23 #157 of 363 · 0.86 –
2021–22 15–16 #113 of 358 · 4.37 –
2020–21 5–14 #173 of 347 · -0.60 –
2019–20 15–16 – #145 of 353 · 44.80
2018–19 19–17 – #114 of 353 · 58.49
2017–18 11–20 – #173 of 351 · 38.84
2016–17 9–23 – #272 of 351 · -8.80
2015–16 9–22 – #257 of 351 · -8.32
2014–15 12–20 – #268 of 351 · -6.20
2013–14 12–21 – #254 of 351 · 2.44
2012–13 11–21 – #231 of 347 · 3.49
2011–12 11–19 – #228 of 345 · 10.92
2010–11 7–24 – #296 of 346 · -25.59
2009–10 8–23 – #262 of 335 · -7.91
2008–09 9–24 – #288 of 330 · -24.70
2007–08 11–19 – #197 of 328 · 19.04
2006–07 20–14 – #69 of 326 · 90.26
2005–06 12–15 – #158 of 326 · 35.13
2004–05 20–11 – #53 of 326 · 96.37