Howard
MEAC · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +4.5 avg | × 33% | +1.5 |
| Opponents faced | -7.1 avg | × 33% | -2.4 |
| Preseason prior | -1.9 | × 67% | -1.2 |
| Power | -2.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Yale | L 62–72 | -8.4 | -1.6 | -0.3 |
| 2 | at | Alcorn State | W 94–83 | +15.9 | -4.9 | +0.3 |
| 3 | at | Pennsylvania | L 65–78 | -5.6 | -7.4 | -0.9 |
| 3 | vs | Stetson | W 75–62 | +12.0 | +1.0 | +0.0 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -1.2 | |||||
| Power | -2.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Davidson | -10.7 | 16% |
| 4 | N | Duquesne | +0.8 | 53% |
| 5 | at | Charleston | -9.4 | 20% |
Season by season
Best finish: #196 in 2025–26. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 24–11 | #196 of 365 · -2.26 | – |
| 2024–25 | 12–20 | #317 of 364 · -11.06 | – |
| 2023–24 | 18–17 | #264 of 362 · -6.08 | – |
| 2022–23 | 22–13 | #219 of 363 · -3.33 | – |
| 2021–22 | 16–13 | #249 of 358 · -5.81 | – |
| 2020–21 | 1–4 | #344 of 347 · -19.91 | – |
| 2019–20 | 3–28 | – | #350 of 353 · -126.02 |
| 2018–19 | 14–17 | – | #281 of 353 · -20.16 |
| 2017–18 | 10–23 | – | #332 of 351 · -58.96 |
| 2016–17 | 10–24 | – | #335 of 351 · -62.31 |
| 2015–16 | 12–20 | – | #304 of 351 · -30.96 |
| 2014–15 | 16–16 | – | #243 of 351 · 5.38 |
| 2013–14 | 8–25 | – | #347 of 351 · -76.50 |
| 2012–13 | 6–23 | – | #316 of 347 · -49.56 |
| 2011–12 | 10–21 | – | #306 of 345 · -34.76 |
| 2010–11 | 6–24 | – | #334 of 346 · -68.24 |
| 2009–10 | 7–25 | – | #330 of 335 · -78.77 |
| 2008–09 | 8–23 | – | #321 of 330 · -70.11 |
| 2007–08 | 6–25 | – | #326 of 328 · -87.89 |
| 2006–07 | 9–22 | – | #316 of 326 · -54.27 |
| 2005–06 | 7–22 | – | #301 of 326 · -39.06 |
| 2004–05 | 5–23 | – | #319 of 326 · -76.40 |