Charlotte
American · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +6.0 avg | × 27% | +1.6 |
| Opponents faced | -1.3 avg | × 27% | -0.3 |
| Preseason prior | -1.8 | × 73% | -1.3 |
| Power | +0.0 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Indiana State | W 78–70 | +4.7 | +3.3 | +1.2 |
| 2 | vs | Georgia State | W 77–67 | +9.5 | +0.5 | +0.0 |
| 3 | N | Seton Hall | L 62–68 | -10.5 | +4.5 | +0.1 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -1.3 | |||||
| Power | +0.0 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | App State | +4.6 | 66% |
| 4 | at | Davidson | -8.6 | 22% |
| 5 | N | Florida Gulf Coast | +4.8 | 67% |
| 5 | N | Northern Iowa | -5.3 | 32% |
| 5 | vs | Western Carolina | +5.0 | 68% |
Season by season
Best finish: #50 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 17–17 | #203 of 365 · -2.83 | – |
| 2024–25 | 11–22 | #242 of 364 · -5.60 | – |
| 2023–24 | 19–12 | #120 of 362 · 3.63 | – |
| 2022–23 | 22–14 | #115 of 363 · 4.01 | – |
| 2021–22 | 17–14 | #202 of 358 · -2.26 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–16 | #232 of 347 · -4.30 | – |
| 2019–20 | 16–13 | – | #175 of 353 · 33.80 |
| 2018–19 | 8–21 | – | #307 of 353 · -36.45 |
| 2017–18 | 6–23 | – | #324 of 351 · -45.15 |
| 2016–17 | 13–17 | – | #271 of 351 · -8.25 |
| 2015–16 | 14–19 | – | #182 of 351 · 31.01 |
| 2014–15 | 14–18 | – | #157 of 351 · 39.94 |
| 2013–14 | 17–14 | – | #142 of 351 · 46.51 |
| 2012–13 | 21–11 | – | #119 of 347 · 52.17 |
| 2011–12 | 13–17 | – | #191 of 345 · 25.05 |
| 2010–11 | 10–20 | – | #256 of 346 · -5.74 |
| 2009–10 | 19–12 | – | #90 of 335 · 75.66 |
| 2008–09 | 11–20 | – | #201 of 330 · 21.62 |
| 2007–08 | 20–14 | – | #106 of 328 · 68.09 |
| 2006–07 | 14–16 | – | #148 of 326 · 39.60 |
| 2005–06 | 19–13 | – | #89 of 326 · 71.97 |
| 2004–05 | 21–8 | – | #50 of 326 · 97.96 |