Eastern Michigan
MAC · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +9.7 avg | × 27% | +2.6 |
| Opponents faced | -6.4 avg | × 27% | -1.7 |
| Preseason prior | -5.7 | × 73% | -4.2 |
| Power | -3.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Coastal Carolina | W 71–70 | +2.7 | -1.7 | +0.1 |
| 2 | at | Xavier | L 53–76 | -22.4 | -0.6 | -0.6 |
| 3 | vs | Great Lakes Christian non-D1 | W 108–44 | +32.9 | +31.1 | +1.4 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -4.2 | |||||
| Power | -3.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs | Detroit Mercy | +10.8 | 84% |
| 4 | vs | Denver | +4.0 | 64% |
| 5 | N | Kennesaw State | -5.4 | 31% |
| 6 | vs | Massachusetts | +2.0 | 57% |
| 6 | at | Ball State | +3.3 | 62% |
| 7 | at | Toledo | -6.4 | 28% |
| 7 | vs | Central Michigan | +5.5 | 69% |
| 10 | at | Miami (OH) | -13.6 | 11% |
Season by season
Best finish: #116 in 2014–15. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 10–21 | #261 of 365 · -6.84 | – |
| 2024–25 | 16–16 | #296 of 364 · -9.36 | – |
| 2023–24 | 13–18 | #330 of 362 · -13.04 | – |
| 2022–23 | 8–23 | #330 of 363 · -12.15 | – |
| 2021–22 | 10–21 | #310 of 358 · -10.80 | – |
| 2020–21 | 6–12 | #293 of 347 · -8.97 | – |
| 2019–20 | 12–16 | – | #218 of 353 · 7.92 |
| 2018–19 | 11–17 | – | #199 of 353 · 19.36 |
| 2017–18 | 22–13 | – | #123 of 351 · 60.05 |
| 2016–17 | 16–17 | – | #132 of 351 · 53.59 |
| 2015–16 | 18–15 | – | #156 of 351 · 48.78 |
| 2014–15 | 21–14 | – | #116 of 351 · 60.73 |
| 2013–14 | 22–15 | – | #117 of 351 · 61.16 |
| 2012–13 | 13–18 | – | #237 of 347 · -1.10 |
| 2011–12 | 14–18 | – | #275 of 345 · -13.57 |
| 2010–11 | 9–22 | – | #297 of 346 · -26.63 |
| 2009–10 | 17–15 | – | #159 of 335 · 38.42 |
| 2008–09 | 8–24 | – | #309 of 330 · -51.26 |
| 2007–08 | 14–17 | – | #205 of 328 · 15.61 |
| 2006–07 | 13–19 | – | #263 of 326 · -13.85 |
| 2005–06 | 7–21 | – | #288 of 326 · -26.34 |
| 2004–05 | 11–18 | – | #243 of 326 · -1.43 |