Wyoming
Mountain West · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +19.0 avg | × 27% | +5.2 |
| Opponents faced | -7.3 avg | × 27% | -2.0 |
| Preseason prior | +2.6 | × 73% | +1.9 |
| Power | +5.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Regis (CO) non-D1 | W 95–48 | +41.3 | +5.7 | +1.0 |
| 2 | vs | Idaho State | W 93–62 | +21.6 | +9.4 | +1.5 |
| 3 | at | North Carolina | L 63–76 | -16.7 | +3.7 | +0.7 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | +1.9 | |||||
| Power | +5.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Denver | +6.5 | 72% |
| 4 | vs | Sam Houston | +8.7 | 79% |
| 4 | N | Duquesne | +8.0 | 77% |
| 5 | N | Kent State | +6.2 | 71% |
| 5 | vs | Eastern Washington | +13.5 | 89% |
| 10 | vs | Nevada | -2.7 | 40% |
| 11 | at | UTEP | +9.4 | 80% |
| 11 | at | Grand Canyon | -13.3 | 11% |
Season by season
Best finish: #72 in 2011–12. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 18–15 | #114 of 365 · 3.85 | – |
| 2024–25 | 12–20 | #203 of 364 · -2.94 | – |
| 2023–24 | 15–17 | #179 of 362 · -1.50 | – |
| 2022–23 | 9–22 | #162 of 363 · 0.40 | – |
| 2021–22 | 25–9 | #85 of 358 · 7.37 | – |
| 2020–21 | 14–11 | #194 of 347 · -2.29 | – |
| 2019–20 | 8–24 | – | #321 of 353 · -46.15 |
| 2018–19 | 7–28 | – | #340 of 353 · -80.42 |
| 2017–18 | 20–13 | – | #163 of 351 · 42.16 |
| 2016–17 | 23–15 | – | #136 of 351 · 51.92 |
| 2015–16 | 14–18 | – | #224 of 351 · 9.87 |
| 2014–15 | 25–10 | – | #105 of 351 · 67.60 |
| 2013–14 | 18–15 | – | #166 of 351 · 38.99 |
| 2012–13 | 17–13 | – | #115 of 347 · 53.36 |
| 2011–12 | 20–11 | – | #72 of 345 · 88.09 |
| 2010–11 | 10–21 | – | #265 of 346 · -8.70 |
| 2009–10 | 10–21 | – | #261 of 335 · -7.56 |
| 2008–09 | 19–14 | – | #180 of 330 · 29.51 |
| 2007–08 | 12–18 | – | #234 of 328 · -1.29 |
| 2006–07 | 17–15 | – | #168 of 326 · 30.06 |
| 2005–06 | 14–18 | – | #183 of 326 · 27.60 |
| 2004–05 | 15–12 | – | #110 of 326 · 53.84 |