SIU Edwardsville
OVC · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +9.0 avg | × 33% | +3.0 |
| Opponents faced | -11.0 avg | × 33% | -3.7 |
| Preseason prior | -6.1 | × 67% | -4.1 |
| Power | -4.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Duke | -39.4 | 0% |
| 4 | at | North Dakota | +1.2 | 54% |
| 4 | vs | North Park non-D1 | +31.4 | 100% |
| 5 | vs | Northern Illinois | +7.8 | 76% |
| 5 | vs | UTSA | +7.7 | 76% |
| 10 | vs | Lindenwood | +5.9 | 70% |
| 10 | at | Western Illinois | +14.2 | 90% |
| 11 | at | Tennessee State | -1.2 | 46% |
Season by season
Best finish: #214 in 2024–25. 16 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 19–13 | #225 of 365 · -4.85 | – |
| 2024–25 | 22–12 | #214 of 364 · -3.45 | – |
| 2023–24 | 17–16 | #265 of 362 · -6.10 | – |
| 2022–23 | 19–14 | #236 of 363 · -4.53 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–21 | #299 of 358 · -9.40 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–17 | #313 of 347 · -11.25 | – |
| 2019–20 | 6–23 | – | #332 of 353 · -56.42 |
| 2018–19 | 8–21 | – | #323 of 353 · -46.71 |
| 2017–18 | 9–21 | – | #312 of 351 · -34.78 |
| 2016–17 | 6–24 | – | #316 of 351 · -36.33 |
| 2015–16 | 6–22 | – | #301 of 351 · -28.04 |
| 2014–15 | 12–16 | – | #229 of 351 · 13.03 |
| 2013–14 | 11–20 | – | #287 of 351 · -15.07 |
| 2012–13 | 7–18 | – | #284 of 347 · -24.82 |
| 2011–12 | 10–15 | – | #302 of 345 · -34.47 |
| 2010–11 | 8–21 | – | #344 of 346 · -112.63 |