Fairleigh Dickinson
NEC · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -6.7 avg | × 33% | -2.2 |
| Opponents faced | -1.2 avg | × 33% | -0.4 |
| Preseason prior | -15.3 | × 67% | -10.2 |
| Power | -12.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Illinois | L 45–120 | -44.8 | -30.2 | -1.2 |
| 2 | at | Butler | L 65–99 | -24.5 | -9.5 | -1.9 |
| 2 | vs | City College NY non-D1 | W 93–56 | +23.3 | +13.7 | +0.2 |
| 3 | at | East Texas A&M | W 80–76 | -5.2 | +9.2 | +0.3 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -10.2 | |||||
| Power | -12.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
Season by season
Best finish: #122 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 11–21 | #334 of 365 · -13.65 | – |
| 2024–25 | 13–20 | #295 of 364 · -9.28 | – |
| 2023–24 | 15–17 | #320 of 362 · -11.31 | – |
| 2022–23 | 21–16 | #275 of 363 · -7.28 | – |
| 2021–22 | 4–22 | #347 of 358 · -16.05 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–15 | #292 of 347 · -8.88 | – |
| 2019–20 | 10–19 | – | #285 of 353 · -19.06 |
| 2018–19 | 19–14 | – | #170 of 353 · 31.38 |
| 2017–18 | 13–18 | – | #274 of 351 · -10.97 |
| 2016–17 | 11–19 | – | #270 of 351 · -8.08 |
| 2015–16 | 18–15 | – | #233 of 351 · 5.88 |
| 2014–15 | 8–21 | – | #326 of 351 · -44.36 |
| 2013–14 | 10–21 | – | #313 of 351 · -35.99 |
| 2012–13 | 7–24 | – | #340 of 347 · -93.06 |
| 2011–12 | 3–26 | – | #334 of 345 · -75.52 |
| 2010–11 | 5–24 | – | #320 of 346 · -53.60 |
| 2009–10 | 11–21 | – | #309 of 335 · -46.27 |
| 2008–09 | 7–23 | – | #326 of 330 · -86.57 |
| 2007–08 | 8–20 | – | #310 of 328 · -50.41 |
| 2006–07 | 14–16 | – | #231 of 326 · 1.87 |
| 2005–06 | 20–12 | – | #144 of 326 · 40.10 |
| 2004–05 | 20–13 | – | #122 of 326 · 50.56 |