Incarnate Word
Southland · 0–4
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -21.0 avg | × 33% | -7.0 |
| Opponents faced | -3.0 avg | × 33% | -1.0 |
| Preseason prior | -10.2 | × 67% | -6.8 |
| Power | -14.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Oklahoma State | L 60–91 | -34.1 | +3.1 | -1.1 |
| 2 | vs | Chicago State | L 54–66 | +2.7 | -14.8 | -3.4 |
| 3 | at | UTEP | L 60–79 | -10.5 | -8.5 | -2.1 |
| 3 | at | UC Davis | L 69–81 | -11.2 | -0.8 | -1.4 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -6.8 | |||||
| Power | -14.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at | Texas State | -20.1 | 3% |
| 4 | vs | Central Baptist College non-D1 | +21.3 | 97% |
| 5 | at | Hawai'i | -15.6 | 8% |
| 6 | at | Grand Canyon | -33.2 | 0% |
| 10 | at | Arizona | -42.7 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #128 in 2013–14. 13 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 12–19 | #257 of 365 · -6.78 | – |
| 2024–25 | 19–17 | #247 of 364 · -5.96 | – |
| 2023–24 | 8–23 | #348 of 362 · -16.22 | – |
| 2022–23 | 12–19 | #345 of 363 · -14.13 | – |
| 2021–22 | 7–25 | #349 of 358 · -16.16 | – |
| 2020–21 | 8–14 | #322 of 347 · -12.53 | – |
| 2019–20 | 6–22 | – | #343 of 353 · -80.46 |
| 2018–19 | 2–25 | – | #341 of 353 · -81.64 |
| 2017–18 | 7–21 | – | #331 of 351 · -55.29 |
| 2016–17 | 12–17 | – | #305 of 351 · -27.31 |
| 2015–16 | 17–12 | – | #195 of 351 · 23.95 |
| 2014–15 | 18–11 | – | #165 of 351 · 37.14 |
| 2013–14 | 21–6 | – | #128 of 351 · 53.81 |