Hawai'i
Mountain West · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +5.6 avg | × 33% | +1.9 |
| Opponents faced | -13.8 avg | × 33% | -4.6 |
| Preseason prior | +0.8 | × 67% | +0.5 |
| Power | -2.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Seattle U | W 74–73 | +2.2 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
| 2 | vs | Bethesda University non-D1 | W 116–44 | +34.0 | +38.0 | -0.3 |
| 3 | vs | UT Arlington | W 71–62 | +5.0 | +4.0 | +0.1 |
| 3 | vs | Portland | L 66–73 | +4.0 | -11.0 | -1.8 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | +0.5 | |||||
| Power | -2.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | N | Washington State | +1.6 | 56% |
| 5 | vs | Incarnate Word | +15.6 | 92% |
| 10 | at | San José State | +1.1 | 54% |
| 11 | at | UC Davis | +1.4 | 55% |
| 11 | at | Nevada | -15.9 | 8% |
| 12 | vs | Air Force | +11.5 | 85% |
| 12 | vs | Wyoming | -4.4 | 35% |
| 13 | at | Grand Canyon | -20.6 | 3% |
Season by season
Best finish: #34 in 2015–16. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 250 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 24–9 | #129 of 365 · 2.86 | – |
| 2024–25 | 15–16 | #241 of 364 · -5.47 | – |
| 2023–24 | 20–14 | #170 of 362 · -0.38 | – |
| 2022–23 | 22–11 | #145 of 363 · 1.56 | – |
| 2021–22 | 17–11 | #182 of 358 · -0.58 | – |
| 2020–21 | 11–10 | #209 of 347 · -2.77 | – |
| 2019–20 | 16–12 | – | #165 of 353 · 36.97 |
| 2018–19 | 16–13 | – | #160 of 353 · 34.77 |
| 2017–18 | 17–13 | – | #179 of 351 · 34.19 |
| 2016–17 | 14–16 | – | #223 of 351 · 15.33 |
| 2015–16 | 28–6 | – | #34 of 351 · 124.38 |
| 2014–15 | 22–13 | – | #106 of 351 · 67.04 |
| 2013–14 | 20–11 | – | #85 of 351 · 78.85 |
| 2012–13 | 16–14 | – | #167 of 347 · 31.66 |
| 2011–12 | 16–17 | – | #213 of 345 · 15.77 |
| 2010–11 | 19–13 | – | #163 of 346 · 38.67 |
| 2009–10 | 10–20 | – | #240 of 335 · 4.73 |
| 2008–09 | 13–17 | – | #182 of 330 · 29.11 |
| 2007–08 | 11–19 | – | #232 of 328 · 0.27 |
| 2006–07 | 17–13 | – | #86 of 326 · 77.08 |
| 2005–06 | 17–11 | – | #119 of 326 · 54.50 |
| 2004–05 | 16–13 | – | #136 of 326 · 42.83 |