North Florida
ASUN · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -17.7 avg | × 27% | -4.8 |
| Opponents faced | +10.7 avg | × 27% | +2.9 |
| Preseason prior | -14.1 | × 73% | -10.3 |
| Power | -12.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | California Baptist | W 71–63 | -4.8 | +12.8 | +0.9 |
| 2 | at | UCLA | L 63–114 | -37.1 | -13.9 | -1.6 |
| 3 | at | Miami | L 51–89 | -35.6 | -2.4 | -1.2 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -10.3 | |||||
| Power | -12.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | The Citadel | +6.6 | 73% |
| 4 | vs | Fort Lauderdale non-D1 | +24.0 | 98% |
| 4 | vs | Little Rock | +0.2 | 51% |
| 5 | vs | Central Arkansas | -7.7 | 24% |
| 5 | vs | Warner University non-D1 | +24.0 | 98% |
| 5 | at | Columbia | -12.4 | 13% |
| 8 | vs | Charleston Southern | -0.3 | 49% |
| 10 | at | Georgia | -28.9 | 0% |
Season by season
Best finish: #112 in 2014–15. 17 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 7–25 | #336 of 365 · -14.12 | – |
| 2024–25 | 15–17 | #255 of 364 · -6.49 | – |
| 2023–24 | 16–16 | #230 of 362 · -4.23 | – |
| 2022–23 | 14–17 | #222 of 363 · -3.57 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–20 | #245 of 358 · -5.37 | – |
| 2020–21 | 8–15 | #270 of 347 · -7.69 | – |
| 2019–20 | 19–12 | – | #190 of 353 · 26.31 |
| 2018–19 | 14–17 | – | #235 of 353 · 0.33 |
| 2017–18 | 14–19 | – | #322 of 351 · -41.83 |
| 2016–17 | 15–19 | – | #280 of 351 · -11.95 |
| 2015–16 | 22–12 | – | #175 of 351 · 36.54 |
| 2014–15 | 23–12 | – | #112 of 351 · 62.66 |
| 2013–14 | 16–16 | – | #256 of 351 · 1.00 |
| 2012–13 | 12–19 | – | #264 of 347 · -17.39 |
| 2011–12 | 16–16 | – | #231 of 345 · 9.60 |
| 2010–11 | 15–19 | – | #275 of 346 · -13.58 |
| 2009–10 | 13–18 | – | #300 of 335 · -35.11 |