SE Louisiana
Southland · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -17.3 avg | × 27% | -4.7 |
| Opponents faced | +9.4 avg | × 27% | +2.6 |
| Preseason prior | -11.1 | × 73% | -8.1 |
| Power | -10.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Auburn | L 59–92 | -33.5 | +0.5 | -1.0 |
| 2 | at | Little Rock | W 83–79 | -3.8 | +7.8 | +0.5 |
| 3 | at | Ole Miss | L 51–91 | -30.6 | -9.4 | -1.6 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -8.1 | |||||
| Power | -10.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at | Texas A&M | -34.3 | 0% |
| 4 | at | Kennesaw State | -15.3 | 8% |
| 5 | N | Northern Colorado | -9.1 | 20% |
| 6 | at | George Washington | -22.4 | 2% |
| 6 | at | Saint Louis | -31.9 | 0% |
| 9 | at | Dayton | -17.2 | 6% |
Season by season
Best finish: #87 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 9–22 | #293 of 365 · -9.59 | – |
| 2024–25 | 18–14 | #220 of 364 · -3.70 | – |
| 2023–24 | 15–17 | #287 of 362 · -7.80 | – |
| 2022–23 | 18–14 | #261 of 363 · -6.09 | – |
| 2021–22 | 19–15 | #267 of 358 · -7.00 | – |
| 2020–21 | 8–18 | #321 of 347 · -12.30 | – |
| 2019–20 | 5–23 | – | #341 of 353 · -71.83 |
| 2018–19 | 15–16 | – | #202 of 353 · 15.88 |
| 2017–18 | 22–12 | – | #188 of 351 · 29.84 |
| 2016–17 | 16–16 | – | #191 of 351 · 31.76 |
| 2015–16 | 12–21 | – | #305 of 351 · -31.89 |
| 2014–15 | 9–23 | – | #293 of 351 · -20.58 |
| 2013–14 | 12–18 | – | #293 of 351 · -22.50 |
| 2012–13 | 11–18 | – | #274 of 347 · -21.41 |
| 2011–12 | 12–17 | – | #262 of 345 · -7.38 |
| 2010–11 | 15–14 | – | #218 of 346 · 16.19 |
| 2009–10 | 19–12 | – | #177 of 335 · 32.27 |
| 2008–09 | 13–17 | – | #188 of 330 · 25.19 |
| 2007–08 | 17–13 | – | #163 of 328 · 34.97 |
| 2006–07 | 16–14 | – | #224 of 326 · 6.34 |
| 2005–06 | 16–12 | – | #160 of 326 · 34.57 |
| 2004–05 | 23–9 | – | #87 of 326 · 70.01 |