Eastern Washington
Big Sky · 0–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -12.9 avg | × 27% | -3.5 |
| Opponents faced | +9.6 avg | × 27% | +2.6 |
| Preseason prior | -6.2 | × 73% | -4.5 |
| Power | -5.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Stanford | L 65–74 | -20.3 | +11.3 | +0.6 |
| 2 | at | Oregon | L 71–98 | -20.2 | -6.8 | -1.3 |
| 3 | at | Oregon State | L 84–94 | -13.4 | +3.4 | -0.2 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -4.5 | |||||
| Power | -5.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Corban College non-D1 | +30.7 | 100% |
| 4 | at | Utah | -11.6 | 14% |
| 5 | at | UNLV | -12.9 | 12% |
| 5 | at | Loyola Marymount | -5.8 | 30% |
| 5 | at | Wyoming | -13.5 | 11% |
| 6 | at | Portland State | -2.9 | 40% |
| 6 | at | Northern Colorado | -7.2 | 26% |
| 10 | vs | Southern Utah | +3.8 | 63% |
Season by season
Best finish: #68 in 2020–21. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 14–19 | #217 of 365 · -4.25 | – |
| 2024–25 | 10–22 | #286 of 364 · -8.49 | – |
| 2023–24 | 21–11 | #142 of 362 · 2.05 | – |
| 2022–23 | 23–11 | #132 of 363 · 2.78 | – |
| 2021–22 | 18–16 | #173 of 358 · 0.00 | – |
| 2020–21 | 16–8 | #68 of 347 · 9.01 | – |
| 2019–20 | 21–8 | – | #103 of 353 · 65.14 |
| 2018–19 | 15–18 | – | #220 of 353 · 6.30 |
| 2017–18 | 20–15 | – | #161 of 351 · 42.71 |
| 2016–17 | 22–12 | – | #168 of 351 · 38.80 |
| 2015–16 | 18–16 | – | #188 of 351 · 27.29 |
| 2014–15 | 26–9 | – | #92 of 351 · 75.47 |
| 2013–14 | 15–16 | – | #218 of 351 · 17.60 |
| 2012–13 | 10–21 | – | #308 of 347 · -39.86 |
| 2011–12 | 15–17 | – | #184 of 345 · 28.47 |
| 2010–11 | 10–20 | – | #277 of 346 · -13.99 |
| 2009–10 | 9–21 | – | #294 of 335 · -27.89 |
| 2008–09 | 12–18 | – | #260 of 330 · -7.25 |
| 2007–08 | 11–19 | – | #251 of 328 · -7.75 |
| 2006–07 | 15–14 | – | #185 of 326 · 22.79 |
| 2005–06 | 15–15 | – | #182 of 326 · 28.75 |
| 2004–05 | 8–19 | – | #265 of 326 · -10.88 |