MRI Champion · 3 basketball titles 2004–05, 2006–07, 2008–09

North Carolina

ACC · 24–9

Power+17.7#29 of 365

Résumé+14.22#24 · wins above average

Trendrating by week

Best winDuke (71–68)
Worst lossCalifornia (78–84)
Schedule faced+9.4 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	vs	Central Arkansas	W 94–54	+22.2	+17.8
1	vs	Kansas	W 87–74	+0.2	+12.8
2	vs	Radford	W 89–74	+24.7	-9.7
2	vs	North Carolina Central	W 97–53	+34.6	+9.4
3	vs	Navy	W 73–61	+20.0	-8.0
4	N	St. Bonaventure	W 85–70	+15.1	-0.1
4	N	Michigan State	L 58–74	-6.7	-9.3
5	at	Kentucky	W 67–64	-3.2	+6.2
5	vs	Georgetown	W 81–61	+13.5	+6.5
6	vs	South Carolina Upstate	W 80–62	+29.9	-11.9
7	vs	East Tennessee State	W 77–58	+17.0	+2.0
7	N	Ohio State	W 71–70	+0.1	+0.9
8	vs	East Carolina	W 99–51	+27.8	+20.2
9	vs	Florida State	W 79–66	+11.7	+1.3
9	at	SMU	L 83–97	+1.0	-15.0
10	vs	Wake Forest	W 87–84	+11.6	-8.6
11	at	Stanford	L 90–95	+5.9	-10.9
11	at	California	L 78–84	+7.9	-13.9
12	vs	Notre Dame	W 91–69	+15.4	+6.6
12	at	Virginia	W 85–80	-3.3	+8.3
13	at	Georgia Tech	W 91–75	+16.2	-0.2
14	vs	Syracuse	W 87–77	+14.4	-4.4
14	vs	Duke	W 71–68	-11.4	+14.4
15	at	Miami	L 66–75	+1.4	-10.4
15	vs	Pittsburgh	W 79–65	+14.8	-0.8
16	at	NC State	L 58–82	+1.2	-25.2
16	at	Syracuse	W 77–64	+8.9	+4.1
17	vs	Louisville	W 77–74	+0.5	+2.5
17	vs	Virginia Tech	W 89–82	+11.5	-4.5
18	vs	Clemson	W 67–63	+4.5	-0.5
18	at	Duke	L 61–76	-16.8	+1.8
19	N	Clemson	L 79–80	+1.8	-2.8
20	N	VCU	L 78–82	+2.6	-6.6

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #1 in 2008–09. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025–26	29 of 365	24–9	17.69	Power
2024–25	25 of 364	23–14	16.99	Power
2023–24	9 of 362	29–8	20.27	Power
2022–23	32 of 363	20–13	13.14	Power
2021–22	18 of 358	29–10	14.93	Power
2020–21	46 of 347	18–11	10.05	Power
2019–20	109 of 353	14–19	60.51	MRI
2018–19	4 of 353	29–7	208.42	MRI
2017–18	8 of 351	26–11	174.29	MRI
2016–17	2 of 351	33–7	233.20	MRI
2015–16	2 of 351	33–7	230.85	MRI
2014–15	10 of 351	26–12	165.71	MRI
2013–14	33 of 351	24–10	130.78	MRI
2012–13	29 of 347	23–10	125.29	MRI
2011–12	3 of 345	32–6	232.98	MRI
2010–11	15 of 346	29–8	157.93	MRI
2009–10	78 of 335	20–17	84.98	MRI
2008–09	1 of 330	34–4	259.81	MRI
2007–08	3 of 328	36–3	265.70	MRI
2006–07	1 of 326	31–7	258.60	MRI
2005–06	11 of 326	23–8	149.42	MRI
2004–05	1 of 326	33–4	247.54	MRI