Texas State
Pac-12 · 0–2 · MRI Classic #121
Power-5.3#80 of 138
Résumé-0.54#159 · wins above average
Movement-1down from #79 last week
Worst lossUTSA (26–31)
Schedule faced+14.0 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-4.7 avg opponent
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | North Texas | -12.8 | 22% |
| 4 | vs | Incarnate Word FCS | +33.6 | 98% |
| 5 | at | San Diego State | -8.0 | 31% |
| 7 | vs | Colorado State | +9.2 | 71% |
| 8 | vs | Utah State | +7.0 | 66% |
| 9 | at | Boise State | -20.4 | 11% |
| 10 | at | Oregon State | +2.0 | 55% |
| 11 | vs | Fresno State | -0.6 | 49% |
Season by season
Best finish: #66 in 2024. 14 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rank | Rec | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 68 of 136 | 7–6 | 0.34 | Power |
| 2024 | 66 of 134 | 8–5 | 1.42 | Power |
| 2023 | 86 of 133 | 8–5 | -5.45 | Power |
| 2022 | 117 of 131 | 4–8 | -15.21 | Power |
| 2021 | 117 of 130 | 4–8 | -17.12 | Power |
| 2020 | 112 of 128 | 2–10 | -13.00 | Power |
| 2019 | 121 of 130 | 3–9 | -41.65 | MRI |
| 2018 | 106 of 130 | 3–9 | -24.92 | MRI |
| 2017 | 124 of 130 | 2–10 | -59.59 | MRI |
| 2016 | 128 of 128 | 2–10 | -76.91 | MRI |
| 2015 | 117 of 128 | 3–9 | -39.27 | MRI |
| 2014 | 67 of 128 | 7–5 | 20.76 | MRI |
| 2013 | 90 of 126 | 6–6 | -5.61 | MRI |
| 2012 | 101 of 124 | 4–8 | -17.30 | MRI |