Fresno State

Pac-12 · 1–1 · MRI Classic #91

Power-0.4#71 of 138

Résumé+0.01#69 · wins above average

Movement+11up from #82 last week

Best winSacramento State (49–3)
Worst lossUSC (0–39)
Schedule faced+0.7 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-6.0 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

Wk		Opponent	Result	Expected	Perf
1	at	USC	L 0–39	-23.2	-15.8
2	vs	Sacramento State	W 49–3	+21.0	+25.0

Remaining schedule

Wk		Opponent	Projected	Win prob
3	at	San Jose State	+7.5	68%
4	vs	Rice	+20.9	90%
5	at	Washington State	-5.7	36%
6	vs	Boise State	-7.1	33%
7	at	San Diego State	-3.2	42%
9	vs	Oregon State	+15.3	82%
10	at	Utah State	+3.3	58%
11	at	Texas State	+0.6	51%

Season by season

Best finish: #10 in 2018. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

Season	Rank	Rec	Rating
2025	74 of 136	9–4	-1.59	Power
2024	80 of 134	6–7	-3.13	Power
2023	65 of 133	9–4	0.84	Power
2022	40 of 131	10–4	7.91	Power
2021	50 of 130	10–3	5.54	Power
2020	87 of 128	3–3	-4.13	Power
2019	82 of 130	4–8	7.69	MRI
2018	10 of 130	12–2	79.91	MRI
2017	31 of 130	9–4	51.56	MRI
2016	124 of 128	1–11	-47.37	MRI
2015	119 of 128	3–9	-43.52	MRI
2014	104 of 128	6–8	-13.13	MRI
2013	28 of 126	11–2	56.62	MRI
2012	26 of 124	9–4	56.83	MRI
2011	94 of 120	4–9	-10.83	MRI
2010	70 of 120	8–5	17.42	MRI
2009	62 of 120	8–5	25.27	MRI
2008	65 of 120	7–6	19.56	MRI
2007	51 of 120	9–4	36.09	MRI
2006	71 of 119	4–8	9.65	MRI
2005	26 of 119	8–5	56.51	MRI
2004	19 of 117	9–3	71.00	MRI
2003	64 of 117	9–5	27.27	MRI