The MRI
2026 · Week 2

San Diego State

Pac-12 · 1–1 · MRI Classic #112

Power-1.5#74 of 138
Résumé-0.22#122 · wins above average
Movement-1down from #73 last week
Best winPortland State (53–20)
Worst lossUCLA (10–28)
Schedule faced-14.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-1.2 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs Portland State FCS W 53–20 +37.4 -4.4
2 at UCLA L 10–28 -11.4 -6.6

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs James Madison -6.6 34%
4 at Toledo -9.1 29%
5 vs Texas State +8.0 69%
6 at Oregon State +5.7 64%
7 vs Fresno State +3.2 58%
8 at Colorado State +4.4 61%
9 vs Washington State +1.7 54%
11 vs Utah State +10.7 74%

Season by season

Best finish: #18 in 2015. 23 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 150 2003: #66 of 117 (6-6)2004: #79 of 117 (4-7)2005: #64 of 119 (5-7)2006: #104 of 119 (3-9)2007: #102 of 120 (4-8)2008: #114 of 120 (2-10)2009: #94 of 120 (4-8)2010: #32 of 120 (9-4)2011: #41 of 120 (8-5)2012: #50 of 124 (9-4)2013: #78 of 126 (8-5)2014: #61 of 128 (7-6)2015: #18 of 128 (11-3)2016: #20 of 128 (11-3)2017: #26 of 130 (10-2)2018: #73 of 130 (7-6)2019: #28 of 130 (10-3)2020: #40 of 128 (4-4)2021: #46 of 130 (12-2)2022: #75 of 131 (7-6)2023: #108 of 133 (4-8)2024: #121 of 134 (3-9)2025: #69 of 136 (9-4) 2003 2025

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 150 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025 69 of 136 9–4 0.08 Power
2024 121 of 134 3–9 -16.02 Power
2023 108 of 133 4–8 -10.41 Power
2022 75 of 131 7–6 -2.16 Power
2021 46 of 130 12–2 5.76 Power
2020 40 of 128 4–4 5.22 Power
2019 28 of 130 10–3 55.83 MRI
2018 73 of 130 7–6 19.38 MRI
2017 26 of 130 10–2 60.01 MRI
2016 20 of 128 11–3 60.31 MRI
2015 18 of 128 11–3 70.58 MRI
2014 61 of 128 7–6 26.47 MRI
2013 78 of 126 8–5 13.38 MRI
2012 50 of 124 9–4 36.18 MRI
2011 41 of 120 8–5 37.22 MRI
2010 32 of 120 9–4 53.00 MRI
2009 94 of 120 4–8 -4.43 MRI
2008 114 of 120 2–10 -48.03 MRI
2007 102 of 120 4–8 -15.01 MRI
2006 104 of 119 3–9 -20.38 MRI
2005 64 of 119 5–7 24.62 MRI
2004 79 of 117 4–7 9.25 MRI
2003 66 of 117 6–6 25.31 MRI